The Alabama Crimson Tide take on the Texas A&M Aggies in College Station, TX. Tip-off is set for 8 p.m. ET on ESPN.
Alabama is favored by 3.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -148. The total is set at 161 points.
Here are my Alabama vs. Texas A&M predictions and college basketball picks for January 11, 2025.
Alabama vs Texas A&M Prediction
My Pick: Under 160.5 (Play to 158)
My Alabama vs Texas A&M best bet is on the under, with the best odds currently available at BetMGM. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Alabama vs Texas A&M Odds
| Alabama Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 -108 | 161 -110 / -110 | -148 |
| Texas A&M Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 -112 | 161 -110 / -110 | +105 |
- Alabama vs Texas A&M spread: Alabama -3.5
- Alabama vs Texas A&M over/under: 161 points
- Alabama vs Texas A&M moneyline: Alabama -148, Texas A&M +124
- Alabama vs Texas A&M best bet: Under 160.5 (Play to 158)
Spread
With Wade Taylor IV out, I'm avoiding the spread.
Moneyline
I'm avoiding the moneyline.
Over/Under
I'm playing the under down to 158.
My Pick: Under 160.5 (Play to 158)
Alabama vs Texas A&M College Basketball Betting Preview
We have a terrific matchup Saturday afternoon in College Station, Texas, as the Texas A&M Aggies host the Alabama Crimson Tide.
The biggest story of the game is that Taylor (undisclosed) will miss his second straight outing for the Aggies. Given that he's A&M's most crucial player, it's a huge loss.
Breaking down the matchup further, we have a complete contrast of pace. Alabama is the third-fastest team in the country, and Texas A&M ranks outside the top 230 in tempo.
A&M is in the top 30 in offensive and defensive efficiency and is the nation's No. 1 offensive rebounding team. The Aggies take a slight dip on the defensive glass, but given how aggressive they are in the rebounding department, I expect better numbers in that category moving forward.
They also thrive by getting to the free throw line, ranking inside the top 30 in free throw attempts per game. The problem for the Aggies is that they're only shooting 71% from the charity stripe. But I would expect that number to increase as the season goes along — since they're constantly at the line.
I would also expect the Aggies to shoot better from 3 moving forward, but this is a tough matchup against a strong Alabama perimeter defense. The Aggies are only shooting 31% from deep, which ranks outside the top 200 in the nation.
I think A&M will thrive on the defensive side of the ball, though.
The one area I'm concerned about for this under on Saturday is that Alabama could cash in on some looming negative regression out on the perimeter. And let’s face it, folks: Alabama is one of the best offensive teams in the entire country.
The Tide is second in 2-point percentage, but the Aggies are elite defensively in that area of the floor.
It looks like this will be another game in which Alabama will have to cash in on most of its attempts from deep, as its buckets may not come as easy from the inside.
Considering that Alabama loves to ramp up the tempo, I think it's a big problem that the Aggies will look to slow down the pace.
These teams are intense and experienced, so we're ready for a heavyweight fight. The Aggies will have to slow the pace down, especially without Taylor.
