The Arizona State Sun Devils take on the Kansas State Wildcats in Manhattan, Kansas. Tip-off is set for 4 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
Kansas State is favored by 6.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -325. The total is set at 144.5 points.
Here are my Arizona State vs. Kansas State predictions and college basketball picks for February 23, 2025.
Arizona State vs Kansas State Prediction
My Pick: Over 143.5 (Play to 144.5)
My Arizona State vs Kansas State best bet is on the over, with the best odds currently available at FanDuel. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Arizona State vs Kansas State Odds
| Arizona State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+6.5 -105 | 144.5 -112 / -108 | +260 |
| Kansas State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-6.5 -115 | 144.5 -112 / -108 | -325 |
- Arizona State vs Kansas State spread: Kansas State -6.5
- Arizona State vs Kansas State over/under: 144.5 points
- Arizona State vs Kansas State moneyline: Kansas State -325, Arizona State +260
- Arizona State vs Kansas State best bet: Over 143.5 (Play to 144.5)
Spread
I'm passing on the spread.
Moneyline
I'm passing on the moneyline.
Over/Under
I like the over in this matchup.
My Pick: Over 143.5 (Play to 144.5)
Arizona State vs Kansas State College Basketball Betting Preview
After a miraculous six-game winning streak in the middle of Big 12 play, Kansas State reverted into a cupcake during its Utah road trip, losing by 15 at BYU and five at Utah.
However, Sunday could be a good bounce-back day for Jerome Tang’s squad as it returns home to face Arizona State.
The Sun Devils looked frisky in the non-conference, pulling off wins over Santa Clara, New Mexico and Saint Mary’s, but they’ve won just three of 15 Big 12 games.
These two faced off during the Wildcats' win streak, with Kansas State prevailing by one point in Tempe.
The Wildcats primarily won that game with 20 fast-break points, 11 post-up points and nine cutting points. David N’Guessan poured in 22 points on 7-for-10 shooting from the interior — he owned the rim in that game.
Arizona State continues to turn the ball over, and its transition defense gets worse with each passing game. The Sun Devils allowed 19 fast-break points at 2.13 PPP to Houston in their last game, but they’ve also let most up-tempo Big 12 squads run all over them.
Kansas State’s on-ball pressure has been much better as the season has progressed, so I suspect the Wildcats could force Arizona State into mistakes and then capitalize with easy run-out buckets — even if their half-court offense struggles.
On the other end of the court, the Sun Devils are fairly strong in isolation creation, and I like their spacing and shooting — they can be a good drive-and-kick offense.
Kansas State has an OK 3-point denial defense (35% 3-point rate allowed, third in Big 12, per KenPom).
However, the Wildcats have an aggressive dribble defense, which will leave weak-side catch-and-shoot opportunities open — the Sun Devils generated a whopping 20 unguarded catch-and-shoot jumpers in the first meeting.
The first matchup snuck over the closing total. If I had to bet this game, I’d wager that the rematch also sneaks over the closing total, given Kansas State can work Arizona State in transition, while the Sun Devils will shoot a million open jumpers.
