The Arizona State Sun Devils take on the Texas Tech Red Raiders in Lubbock, Texas. Tip-off is set for 9 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network.
Texas Tech is favored by 15.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -1100. The total is set at 143.5 points.
Here are my Arizona State vs. Texas Tech predictions and college basketball picks for February 12, 2025.
Arizona State vs Texas Tech Prediction
My Pick: Arizona State +15.5 (Play to +14)
My Arizona State vs Texas Tech best bet is on the Sun Devils spread, with the best odds currently available at DraftKings. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Arizona State vs Texas Tech Odds
| Arizona State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+15.5 -112 | 143.5 -105 / -115 | +700 |
| Texas Tech Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-15.5 -108 | 143.5 -105 / -115 | -1100 |
- Arizona St vs Texas Tech spread: Texas Tech -15.5
- Arizona St vs Texas Tech over/under: 143.5 points
- Arizona St vs Texas Tech moneyline: Texas Tech -110, Arizona State +700
- Arizona St vs Texas Tech best bet: Arizona State +15.5 (Play to +14)
Spread
Despite Texas Tech being at home off a loss, this line is too high to me. I think there's value on the Sun Devils.
Moneyline
I have no play on the moneyline here.
Over/Under
The total is right about what I make it. Arizona State has played a little faster recently, but that's largely been due to opponents.
My Pick: Arizona State +15.5 (Play to +14)
Arizona State vs Texas Tech College Basketball Betting Preview
Arizona StateBasketball
Arizona State’s time on the bubble looks short-lived. The Sun Devils have dropped eight of their last 10 games, tumbling to a dismal 12-11 overall record, and their trajectory is likely to remove them from even borderline NCAA Tournament consideration.
A win in Lubbock could sharply reverse that trend.
Being closer to full strength gives that a better shot at happening. Both BJ Freeman and Adam Miller were suspended for Sunday’s loss to Oklahoma State, severely hampering ASU’s perimeter dynamism.
The Sun Devils managed just 0.95 points per possession without them, shooting 29% from deep while committing more turnovers (12) than they registered assists (seven).
Crucially, both are back for this one. Freeman is ASU’s best perimeter weapon, and he takes some ball-handling responsibilities away from Alston Mason and Joson Sanon.
Sanon, especially, is best when focused on getting buckets. Miller, meanwhile, is one of the best shooters in the country (46.1% from beyond the arc).
Of course, those two only missed one game. ASU’s larger issue is a decline in defensive effectiveness in Big 12 play.
Freshman Jayden Quaintance is one of the country’s truly elite rim protectors, but he's young and has a tendency to gamble for blocks. The Sun Devil guards don't rotate down to help on the glass, and Big 12 foes have feasted on putbacks.
Quaintance is also not an option offensively yet, outside of dunks and his own putbacks. Instead, ASU often plays through Basheer Jihad, a skilled but inefficient forward who's struggled mightily with turnovers.
In fact, Jihad’s 71 miscues are the most in the Big 12, an alarming stat considering he’s not a primary ball-handler.
Texas Tech Basketball
Texas Tech is back home in Lubbock after a disappointing road loss at scorching hot Arizona. The mood around the Red Raiders remains buoyant with optimism, though, as they've swiftly climbed the NCAA Tournament’s S-curve in recent weeks thanks to several key wins.
Over the past four weeks, Texas Tech has climbed from 17th to ninth at KenPom, notching huge victories at Houston, vs. Arizona and vs. Baylor.
The rotation has finally clicked, and Grant McCasland’s seemingly limitless lineup options have evolved into a major weapon as Big 12 foes try to solve the Red Raider riddle.
A huge part of the Red Raiders’ ascent in league play has been the spectacular play of Elijah Hawkins and Chance McMillian.
Hawkins, in particular, has been brilliant, leading the Big 12 in assist rate while hitting clutch shots and controlling the tenor of the game. McMillian has added to his off-the-bounce game while retaining the ability to erupt from deep; just ask Baylor.
That duo has helped pick up the slack for Darrion Williams, who's been in a slump while dealing with a nagging injury, and JT Toppin, who's been wildly up and down this season.
Williams and Toppin were expected to be the Red Raiders’ best players this year. It speaks to the quality depth and lineup flexibility within this roster that they can struggle (Williams) or miss time (Toppin) without Texas Tech missing a beat.
McCasland can scale up and play big with Fede Federiko at center alongside Toppin, or he can go small-ball with four guards thanks to the size of Kevin Overton and Kerwin Walton.
That versatility helps Tech be relatively immune to bad matchups.
Arizona State vs. Texas Tech Betting Analysis
Both teams are 13-10 against the spread this year, but they've gone in different directions in recent games. ASU is just 1-4 ATS in its last four contests, while Texas Tech is 5-2 in its last seven.
Coupled with Texas Tech being a motivated favorite off a loss, the situation might suggest backing the Red Raiders.
However, I make this number 12.5 with Arizona State fully healthy. The Sun Devils have had a couple strong performances on the road, winning at West Virginia and leading at Kansas at halftime.
They have talent and can play up against better competition, even leading Iowa State with 5:30 left before a frantic Clones run to end that game.
Freeman’s return is especially important. Texas Tech runs foes off the 3-point arc, and the Red Raiders’ switchability means you have to be able to win some one-on-one matchups off the bounce.
That's the strength of Freeman’s game, filling a massive void in the Sun Devils’ lineup that was clearly apparent at Oklahoma State on Sunday.
Texas Tech’s efforts on the offensive glass are worrisome. The Red Raiders are a top-30 team in offensive rebound rate, per KenPom, which could expose Quaintance and the rest of ASU’s athletic but undisciplined frontcourt.
The Sun Devils' guards have to help on the glass in this one.
Given what I made this line and my strongly positive opinion of Texas Tech, I don't want to bet this below +14.
But for where it is now, I can't pass up the value now that Freeman and Miller are back in the lineup.
