The Arkansas Razorbacks take on the Texas Longhorns in Austin, Texas. Tip-off is set for 9 p.m. ET on ESPN2.
Texas is favored by 8 points on the spread with a moneyline of -355. The total is set at 144 points.
Here are my Arkansas vs. Texas predictions and college basketball picks for February 5, 2025.
Arkansas vs Texas Prediction
My Pick: Texas -7.5 (Play to -9)
My Arkansas vs Texas best bet is on the Longhorns spread, with the best odds currently available at FanDuel. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Arkansas vs Texas Odds
| Arkansas Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+8 -110 | 144 -108o / -112u | +280 |
| Texas Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-8 -110 | 144 -108o / -112u | -355 |
- Arkansas vs Texas spread: Texas -8
- Arkansas vs Texas over/under: 144 points
- Arkansas vs Texas moneyline: Texas -355, Arkansas +280
- Arkansas vs Texas best bet: Texas -7.5 (Play to -9)
Spread
My best bet for this game is Texas to cover the spread. The Longhorns have improved, and Arkansas could be in a major hangover spot after beating Kentucky in John Calipari's return to Lexington.
Moneyline
While I'm betting Texas to cover the spread, I'm not going to bet it on the moneyline.
Over/Under
I'm staying away from the total in this game.
My Pick: Texas -7.5 (Play to -9)
Arkansas vs Texas College Basketball Betting Preview
Anyone up for fading Arkansas after its big win over Kentucky? John Calipari deserves a shoutout for that game, but let's take a closer peek at what’s really going on.
Arkansas is hitting the road to play Texas, and its track record for road games before its victory in Lexington isn’t too impressive. The Razorbacks lost by 24 at Tennessee, by four at LSU and by 18 at Missouri, failing to cover the spread each time.
Defensively, they’re shaping up and almost cracking the top 30 in KenPom's rankings, but they're struggling in a few key areas.
Their 3-point game on offense? Not the best, even if they just happened to shoot over 50% in their last game.
I’m thinking there’s room for a reality check here.
Plus, they don’t get to the free-throw line often, ranking 228th in foul shot rate nationally. The Hogs also snag only about eight offensive rebounds per game. Plus, Kentucky missed nine free throws, so that plays a role in Arkansas' win.
It’s also worth noting that Boogie Fland is out for the season with a thumb injury. He was a big playmaker capable of dropping 20 points or dishing out 10 assists, and that’s a lot to lose for a lineup that wasn’t exactly on fire before beating Kentucky.
Now, the Hogs are making the trip to Austin, and Texas is tough at home. The Longhorns have gone 9-4 against the spread on their home court, and they’re known for holding onto the ball with a low turnover rate.
Texas is strong across the board when it comes to shooting. Its main weakness is rebounding, which shouldn’t be a big issue against Arkansas.
I’m cautious about comparing too much, but Tennessee, LSU and Mizzou all managed Arkansas on their home courts. Texas took on those teams too: it lost to Tennessee but covered the spread, crushed LSU by 31 and beat Missouri by eight for another cover.
It helps that Tre Johnson seems to be coming out of his midseason slump, leading the Longhorns offensively. He put up 26 against Tennessee and 30 against Texas A&M, and he was efficient in the Horns' recent win over LSU.
With the line set at Texas -7.5, I'd even play it up to nine. The Longhorns should have this handled, and I’m betting Arkansas might still be a bit too high from their Kentucky win.
