The Baylor Bears take on the Arizona Wildcats in Tucson, AZ. Tip-off is set for 11 p.m. ET on ESPN.
Arizona is favored by 5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -238. The total is set at 147.5 points.
Here are my Baylor vs. Arizona predictions and college basketball picks for January 14, 2025.
Baylor vs Arizona Prediction
My Pick: Over 149.5 (Play to 150.5)
My Baylor vs Arizona best bet is on the over, with the best odds currently available at BetMGM. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Baylor vs Arizona Odds, Spread, Pick
| Baylor Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+5 -105 | 147.5 -110 / -110 | +195 |
| Arizona Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-5 -115 | 147.5 -110 / -110 | -238 |
- Baylor vs Arizona spread: Arizona -5
- Baylor vs Arizona over/under: 147.5 points
- Baylor vs Arizona moneyline: Arizona -238, Baylor +195
- Baylor vs Arizona best bet: Over 149.5 (Play to 150.5)
My Baylor vs Arizona College Basketball Betting Preview
Baylor has won six of its last seven and Arizona has won six in a row. So, what gives in this matchup?
Well, I think Baylor has the potential to keep this game close, but I'm more interested in targeting the over.
Both teams are in the top 20 nationally in KenPom's adjusted offensive efficiency metric and they both love to convert quickly off steals.
Baylor's overall tempo (283rd nationally in adjusted tempo, via KenPom) is a cause for concern, and a Baylor game (vs. a D-I opponent) also hasn't reached the 150+ total point mark since mid-December.
However, the Bears haven't played Arizona, which is likely to control the tempo and speed up the game on its home court (55th in adjusted tempo).
Baylor will happily play that style if forced to do so, especially with a terrific guard quartet consisting of VJ Edgecombe, Robert Wright III, Jeremy Roach and Jayden Nunn.
Norchad Omier (15.9 PPG, 10.6 RPG) is also going to be a load for Arizona to handle on the interior, creating more avenues for the Bears to score.
Finally, Caleb Love is due for a massive game for the Wildcats. The guard has shot 11-of-37 over the last three games after combining for 80 points in the three outings before that. If Arizona's guard is on, that's another excellent sign for our total to hit.
Overtime could also be in play based on how these two have competed over the last month.
