The Boise State Broncos take on the Utah State Aggies in Logan, UT. Tip-off is set for 9 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network.
Utah State is favored by 6 points on the spread with a moneyline of -250. The total is set at 147 points.
Here’s my Boise State vs. Utah State predictions and college basketball picks for January 11, 2025.
Boise State vs Utah State Prediction
My Pick: Boise State +6.5 (Play to +4.5)
My Boise State vs Utah State best bet is on the Broncos spread, with the best odds currently available at BetMGM. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Boise State vs. Utah State Odds
| Boise State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+6 -112 | 147 -110o / -110u | +205 |
| Utah State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-6 -108 | 147 -110o / -110u | -250 |
- Boise State vs Utah State spread: Utah State -6
- Boise State vs Utah State over/under: 147 points
- Boise State vs Utah State moneyline: Utah State -250, Boise State +205
- Boise State vs Utah State best bet: Boise State +6.5 (Play to +4.5)
Spread
I'm taking the Broncos on the spread down to +4.5.
Moneyline
I'm avoiding the moneyline.
Over/Under
I'm avoiding the total.
My Pick: Boise State +6.5 (Play to +4.5)
Boise State vs Utah State College Basketball Betting Preview
Under Jerrod Calhoun, Utah State is playing a really fun brand of basketball. Among true mid-majors, the Aggies have the third-highest offensive efficiency rating, per Evan Miyakawa. They play ego-less basketball, effortlessly sharing the rock, which is evidenced by their assist-to-made-basket ratio (.626, 14th).
Additionally, sophomore guard Mason Falslev is shooting his way to a first-round NBA draft grade (47.5% 3P).
But Boise State isn’t some speed bump in the Mountain West. The Broncos were selected to win the MWC in the preseason and have a starting lineup headlined by the best big in the conference.
Tyson Degenhart is averaging close to 18 points and six rebounds per game, but he needs more help in the shooting department. The Broncos have struggled mightily from deep (29.9%, 310th), which is why they’ve burned the redshirt of highly touted freshman Pearson “Peanut” Carmichael.
The two-time Oregon high school basketball player of the year was supposed to make his Boise State debut next season, but Leon Rice and his staff decided that they couldn’t wait. In his first game, he knocked down a pair of triples and helped space the floor during a runaway win over UNLV.
Carmichael is the missing piece for a deeply talented team that's light on perimeter shooting. In high school, Carmichael shot better than 40% from long range as a stretch-four and has drawn rave reviews from teammates during practices this season.
If he catches fire, Utah State will be at risk of losing this game outright in Logan.
In a conference where home court advantage can mean a great deal, Utah State has the best ATS record on its home floor dating back to 2017.
That’s why this number is almost seven.
