The first sharp PRO play is in for the NCAA Tournament First Four: San Diego State vs UNC.
The North Carolina Tar Heels out of the ACC will face off against the San Diego State Aztecs on March 18, 2025, at 9:10 PM EDT on truTV. The winner will proceed to the Field of 64, facing Ole Miss in the next round.
Both teams boast remarkable histories in the tournament, though each is experiencing a comparatively down year. The Tar Heels, coached by Hubert Davis, hold a 22-13 record and 15-19-1 clip against the spread this season. They're favored Tuesday to beat the Aztecs, who are coached by Brian Dutcher.
Utilizing our PRO Projections and sharp-action betting patterns, there's a smart way to attack Tuesday's college basketball game between the Tar Heels and Aztecs — both point in the same direction for the best bet.
UNC vs. San Diego State Basketball Odds for 3/18
- UNC vs. San Diego State spread: UNC -4.5
- UNC vs. San Diego State over/under: 142.5
Admittedly, our PRO Systems are split right down the middle on Tuesday's UNC vs. San Diego State point spread.
While the "Tournament Formula: Defense, Shooting, Seeding (PRO)" — which holds a strong 70% win rate — backs UNC, another system supports the Aztecs.
The "NCAA Tournament Slow Paced Dogs (PRO)" which has a 56% win rate, shows value in San Diego State covering the spread, given their slower-paced style and underdog status. Both these systems will be showing up quite often the next few weeks.
Considering the split stances, Tuesday's sharpest pick may actually be the total, which is attracting sharp money and the support of our data-driven projections.
In this tight matchup, our analysis indicates that the best bet lies in
