Our first Friday night slate of the season gives us some big names and some marquee matchups. With many of the nation's top teams in action tonight, it's the perfect opportunity to take advantage of the player prop market, as many players have history we can work with.
So, let's not waste any more time and dive into our college basketball player props, including 3 picks for Friday, Nov. 10.
Oumar Ballo Under 16.5 Points (-113)
Arizona vs. Duke | 7 p.m. ET
If you've read through our mega guide for tonight's marquee matchup between Arizona and Duke, you know all about the big bodies dominating the paint. While I've touted the Wildcats getting the better of Duke in that aspect, big man Oumar Ballo will have to contend with Kyle Filipowski and Mark Mitchell of Duke.
While Ballo is one of the more experienced players on this Arizona roster, the Wildcats retooling has put him far down the totem pole in terms of offensive usage. That appears that hasn't been accounted for in this line.
Even last season, Ballo showed that he had difficulty eclipsing this number. He went under this total in 87% of games played in 2022-23. That hit rate gives us staggering implied odd of -669 that he'll go under tonight.
Braden Smith Over 3.5 Assists (-125)
Morehead State vs. Purdue | 7 p.m. ET
We head to Mackey Arena, where the nation's top team will take on another cupcake opponent in Morehead State. The first Boilermaker we're targeting is point guard Braden Smith.
The sophomore has proven to be an excellent facilitator in this offense, as he has multiple guys to feed. Smith had the ball moving in Purdue's opener, as 85% of its points were assisted on.
Put that tremendous ball movement up against a Morehead State team that ranks 271st in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency and 142nd in assist-to-field goals made ratio thus far, and it's highly likely we have a repeat performance from Purdue.
Smith will be in the middle of all the ball movement and is far more likely to go over this line than the price indicates. Smith went over this total in 67% of games played last season, which gives implied odds of -203 that he'll go over again tonight.
Zach Edey Over 10.5 Rebounds (-135)
Morehead State vs. Purdue | 7 p.m. ET
The second Boilermaker we're targeting tonight is perhaps the most imposing force in the nation. Current Player of the Year favorite Zach Edey is in line to overpower this Morehead State team tonight.
The Eagles haven't done a great job of boxing out through their first two games of the season, as they're 283rd in defensive rebounding rate. If they can't keep Edey off the offensive glass, he'll have the potential to put up a monstrous rebounding performance.
Now, Edey only went over this total in 47% of games last season, but he was dominant down the stretch, as he went over this total in 75% of his previous 20 games dating back to last season.
Given the matchup, Edey is in the definition of a smash spot tonight.
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