The college basketball player prop market has grown exponentially over the last few seasons. However, with so many games on a Saturday, there are a multitude of edges that sportsbooks can no longer keep up with.
So, to combat that, many of these props have come with heavy juice on them.
However, we can fight the juice and still profit by taking advantage of alternative markets. So, for Saturday's top college basketball player props, our breakdowns will show the edge behind the listed market and their alternative prices.
Emanuel Sharp Over 9.5 Points (-125)
Kansas State vs. Houston | 12 p.m. ET
The Houston Cougars are KenPom's No. 1 team, as they bring the nation's best defense to every matchup. However, on the offensive end of the floor, they're led by a trio of experienced guards.
Sophomore Emanual Sharp may have the lowest point-per-game average in the Cougars' backcourt, but he's shown that he can light up the scoreboard, especially if the 3s are falling.
He'll have the opportunity to make shots from deep, as 33% of the points Kansas State has allowed have come from beyond the arc.
In addition to the matchup, Sharp has shown these totals are too low. He's scored at least 10 points in 63% of games this season, which gives implied odds of -170.
However, we can flip the juice in our favor by taking him to score 12+ points at DraftKings. Sharp has posted at least 12 points in 47% of games this season, which works out to implied odds of +113.
Pick: Emanuel Sharp Over 9.5 Points | 12+ Points (+150)
Dillon Mitchell Over 7.5 Rebounds (-135)
Texas vs. BYU | 2 p.m. ET
The Longhorns, as a team, aren't great at cleaning up misses, but they have one elite rebounder in Dillon Mitchell. The 6-foot-8 sophomore is averaging 8.8 rebounds per game this season, and he'll be in for a war against the BYU bigs down low today.
However, Mitchell has shown that he's matchup-proof in the rebounding department, as he's gone over his posted total 68% of the time this season. That hit rate makes the heavy juice worth the squeeze, as you get implied odds of -213.
We can use that heavy probability to our advantage, as we can double our profits by backing him to grab just two more boards than expected. Mitchell has recorded at least 10 rebounds in 47% of games, which, as you've seen above, gives an implied price of +113.
Though at bet365, you can bet him to grab 10 rebounds at +220.
Pick: Dillon Mitchell Over 7.5 Rebounds (-135) | 10+ Rebounds (+220)
PJ Hall Over 15.5 Points (-137)
Clemson vs. Duke | 4 p.m. ET
One of the best matchups of the day is an ACC clash between the Clemson Tigers and the Duke Blue Devils. The Tigers have been an offensive juggernaut this season, and leading the way has been big man PJ Hall.
Hall has shown that he can do it all on the offensive end, as he's shooting over 61% from inside the arc and over 32% from beyond it. His ability to score at all three levels has led to him posting some big point totals and crushing his overs this season.
Hall has surpassed his listed total 72% of the time this season. That hit rate gives implied odds of -257, which is a tremendous value, even with the heavy juice.
However, we can capitalize on his scoring prowess by taking an alt.
Hall has scored at least 20 points in half of his games this season. The math is easy on this one, as his implied price is +100, though we can take him to score 20 or more at bet365 at +220.
