2018-19 College Basketball Rankings: AP Top 25 Poll vs. National Championship Odds

2018-19 College Basketball Rankings: AP Top 25 Poll vs. National Championship Odds article feature image
Credit:

Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports Pictured: Kansas Jayhawks head coach Bill Self

  • The first college basketball AP Top 25 Poll has been released for the 2018-19 season.
  • We compare those rankings to national championship futures odds from the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.

The Associated Press released its first Top 25 Poll for the 2018-19 college basketball season with Kansas taking the top spot ahead of Kentucky, Gonzaga, Duke and Virginia.

Below is a look how the college basketball AP Top 25 compares to current national championship futures odds from the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.

*All odds as of Oct. 22

2018-19 College Basketball Rankings

Kansas Jayhawks

  • AP Poll rank: 1
  • National title odds rank: T-5 (8-1)

Despite being the No. 1 team in the opening AP rankings, the Jayhawks are tied for fifth-best odds to win the title.

Kentucky Wildcats

  • AP Poll rank: 2
  • National title odds rank: T-3 (7-1)

Gonzaga Bulldogs

  • AP Poll rank: 3
  • National title odds rank: T-3 (7-1)

The Zags have jumped to 7-1 after initially opening at 15-1 in April.

Duke Blue Devils

  • AP Poll rank: 4
  • National title odds rank: 1 (9-2)

With the top recruiting class (once again), Duke is the clear favorite to win the national championship, according to current betting odds.

Virginia Cavaliers

  • AP Poll rank: 5
  • National title odds rank: T-8 (20-1)

Tennessee Volunteers

  • AP Poll rank: 6
  • National title odds rank: 9 (25-1)

The Vols received one first-place vote, meaning at least one AP voter will be happy to see Tennessee available at 25-1.

Nevada Wolf Pack

  • AP Poll rank: 7
  • National title odds rank: 6 (12-1)

This might surprise many casual college basketball fans, but both the AP Poll and betting odds consider Nevada a legitimate contender this season.

The Wolf Pack's title odds have skyrocketed since opening at 60-1.

North Carolina Tar Heels

  • AP Poll rank: 8
  • National title odds rank: T-5 (8-1)

The Tar Heels are considered a top-five team according to betting odds, but landed at No. 8 in the AP Poll.

Villanova Wildcats

  • AP Poll rank: 9
  • National title odds rank: T-14 (30-1)

Villanova opened among the 2018-19 national championship favorites at 8-1, but has since plummeted to 30-1.

Michigan State Spartans

  • AP Poll rank: 10
  • National title odds rank: T-14 (30-1)

Auburn Tigers

  • AP Poll rank: 11
  • National title odds rank: T-18 (40-1)

Kansas State Wildcats

  • AP Poll rank: 12
  • National title odds rank: T-29 (80-1)

The difference between the Top 25 and current odds certainly catches the eye with K-State: A top-12 team in the AP Poll that's available at a long-shot price of 80-1.

West Virginia Mountaineers

  • AP Poll rank: 13
  • National title odds rank: T-14 (30-1)

Oregon Ducks

  • AP Poll rank: 14
  • National title odds rank: T-8 (20-1)

Similar to North Carolina, Oregon appears to be undervalued by the AP Poll when comparing the Ducks' ranking to Vegas' expectations.

Virginia Tech Hokies

  • AP Poll rank: 15
  • National title odds rank: T-23 (60-1)

Virginia Tech appears to be overrated by AP voters based on its 60-1 odds in Vegas.

Syracuse Orange

  • AP Poll rank: 16
  • National title odds rank: T-20 (50-1)

Florida State Seminoles

  • AP Poll rank: 17
  • National title odds rank: T-23 (60-1)


Mississippi State Bulldogs

  • AP Poll rank: 18
  • National title odds rank: T-48 (100-1)

Mississippi State is the first of a handful of teams included in the AP's Top 25 with odds of 100-1 or worse to win the title.

Michigan Wolverines

  • AP Poll rank: 19
  • National title odds rank: T-14 (30-1)

TCU Horned Frogs

  • AP Poll rank: 20
  • National title odds rank: T-48 (100-1)

UCLA Bruins

  • AP Poll rank: 21
  • National title odds rank: T-14 (30-1)

UCLA is likely higher up the odds board than it should be due to name recognition and oddsmakers anticipating Bruins action no matter the price.

Clemson Tigers

  • AP Poll rank: 22
  • National title odds rank: T-48 (100-1)

LSU Tigers

  • AP Poll rank: 23
  • National title odds rank: T-48 (100-1)

Purdue Boilermakers

  • AP Poll rank: 24
  • National title odds rank: T-20 (50-1)

Purdue also appears to be undervalued as the Boilermakers have better national championship odds than seven teams ranked ahead of them in the AP Poll.

Washington Huskies

  • AP Poll rank: 25
  • National title odds rank: T-69 (200-1)

At 200-1, Washington is a surprise addition to the AP Top 25.



About the Author
Sports bettor and Editor at The Action Network.

Follow PJ Walsh @PJWalsh24 on Twitter/X.

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.