Fordham vs. George Washington Odds
- Spread: George Washington -3
- Over/Under: 121.5
- Time: 3:30pm ET
- TV: ESPN+
- Location: Barclays Center
Odds as of Tuesday at 11:30 p.m. ET and via FanDuel. Get up to a $500 risk-free bet at FanDuel today or see more offers and reviews for the best online sportsbooks.
This should be a really ugly game as George Washington (12-19, 15-16 ATS) takes on Fordham (8-22, 13-17 ATS) in Round 1 of the Atlantic 10 tournament. This matchup between two terrible teams is providing some value on the total.
Fordham has arguably the worst offense in the conference and, according to KenPom, the Rams boast sixth-worst offensive efficiency at 88.8. That number dipped to 85.2 during conference play.
Fordham's poor offensive metrics are due in large part to the fact that the Rams can't shoot. Fordham ranks 345th in eFG%, 348th in 2P%, 258th in 3P%, and 315th from the free-throw line. The Rams rank last in the A-10 in all of those metrics except for 3P%.
On top of all of those putrid offensive metrics, Fordham ranks 331st in tempo. Slow pace mixed with bad offense is the perfect recipe for an under.
Fordham does play well on the other side of the ball, with the 68th-best defensive efficiency according to KenPom. The Rams also rank inside the top-100 defensively in eFG%, Turnover %, 3P%, and Steal %.
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The Rams should provide a sturdy test for a George Washington offense that doesn't boast any stand-out metrics. The Colonials also play at a slower pace, ranked 268th in the country.
It shouldn't surprise you to hear that the Under is 19-10-1 in Fordham games and 20-10-1 when George Washington plays. Fordham swept the season series in a pair of low-scoring games (59-54, 63-52).
I think this game will look a lot like the first two meetings between these two schools. My model has the total number of points scored at 116.51, so I would play the under at 121 or better.
The Pick: Under 121 or better
