The Georgia Bulldogs take on the Auburn Tigers in Auburn, AL. Tip-off is set for 4 p.m. ET on ESPN.
Auburn is favored by 16 points on the spread with a moneyline of -2000. The total is set at 146 points.
Here are my Georgia vs. Auburn predictions and college basketball picks for February 22, 2025.
Georgia vs Auburn Prediction
My Pick: PASS · Lean Georgia ATS
My Georgia vs Auburn best bet is on the Bulldogs spread, with the best odds currently available at DraftKings. For all of your college basketball bets, find the best lines using our live NCAAB odds page.
Georgia vs Auburn Odds, Lines, Pick
| Georgia Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+16 -110 | 146 -110o / -110u | +1000 |
| Auburn Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-16 -110 | 146 -110o / -110u | -2000 |
- Georgia vs Auburn spread: Auburn -16
- Georgia vs Auburn over/under: 146 points
- Georgia vs Auburn moneyline: Auburn -2000, Georgia +1000
- Georgia vs Auburn best bet: PASS · Lean Georgia ATS
My Georgia vs Auburn College Basketball Betting Preview
What's going on with Georgia?
The Bulldogs are on a three-game losing streak. They led Texas A&M by double-digits in the second half last Tuesday before allowing a 22-0 run. They led Missouri by three at halftime but allowed a 33-13 run in the first 10 minutes of the second half.
All three games were crucial to Georgia’s at-large hopes, and the Bulldogs are now firmly on the bubble — and likely on the outside looking in, as Bart Torvik projects them with a 41% chance of earning a bid.
But is it finally time to buy-low on the team that’s lost eight of 10?
Georgia played Auburn to a draw in mid-January, losing by two at home despite shooting 9-for-20 (45%) from the free throw line. Meanwhile, the Tigers shot 10-for-23 (44%) from 3. The Bulldogs could’ve easily won that game with some more favorable variance.
The Bulldogs boast a reasonably good interior defense, including against post-up, cutting and isolation plays, three key sets in Bruce Pearl’s flex-motion offense.
And that played out in the first meeting, as Georgia held Auburn to 11-for-32 (34%) shooting in the paint.
However, Johni Broome didn’t play in the first matchup, and he’s the lynchpin of Auburn’s flex offense. His presence could make all the difference in the rematch.
On the other end of the court, Georgia should be able to score at the charity stripe and on second-chance points against an Auburn defense that struggles with fouling and rebounding.
But I’m uncertain how effective the Bulldogs’ half-court offense will be. With Broome on the bench, the Tigers play more hard-hedging ball-screen defense. They strictly drop with him on the court, so Georgia will be pressured into more on-ball creation in the rematch.
While the Bulldogs were effective in ball-screen creation in the first meeting (19 points on 19 sets, 1.00 PPP, per Synergy), they’re generally ineffective in dribble creation (.71 PPP, 10th percentile, per Synergy).
I also wonder if Asa Newell will struggle to create in post-up sets against the monstrous Broome (.48 post-up PPP allowed, 95th percentile, per Synergy).
Newell and the Dawgs were very effective in those sets in the first meeting, but it’s easier to work on the block against Dylan Cardwell (.95 post-up PPP allowed, 36th percentile, per Synergy).
Ultimately, I think Georgia can hang in this game by defending the rim and winning the extras, just as it did in the first head-to-head meeting.
But flipping home court — Georgia ranks 359th nationally in Haslametrics' away-from-home metric — and throwing Broome into the mix gives me enough pause to pass on this game.
