Kansas vs. Villanova Odds
Kansas Odds | -4.5 | |
Villanova Odds | +4.5 | |
Over/Under | 132.5 | |
Tipoff | 6:09 p.m. ET on Saturday | |
Opening odds for Kansas vs. Villanova via DraftKings |
The Final Four matchup between the Midwest's 1-seeded Kansas and South's 2-seeded Villanova is set! The Jayhawks open as 3.5-point favorites against the Wildcats for their semifinal showdown in New Orleans.
Find our expert's projected odds and more about how these teams match-up below.
Projected Kansas vs. Villanova Odds
Projected Kansas Odds | -1 | |
Projected Villanova Odds | +1 | |
Projected Over/Under | 139.5 | |
March Madness projections as of March 27. Find the latest NCAA Tournament projections here. |
Kansas vs. Villanova Matchup Matrix
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Kansas and Villanova match up statistically. Data via KenPom as of Sunday, March 13:
Kansas Offense vs. Villanova Defense
Offense | Defense | Edge | |
eFG% | 25 | 67 | |
Turnover % | 119 | 148 | |
Rebound Rate | 33 | 187 | |
Free Throw Rate | 117 | 47 |
Villanova Offense vs. Kansas Defense
Offense | Defense | Edge | |
eFG% | 77 | 37 | |
Turnover % | 31 | 175 | |
Rebound Rate | 75 | 176 | |
Free Throw Rate | 170 | 118 |
Pace of Play
Tempo | 64 | 345 |
More About Kansas
Doug Ziefel: The Jayhawks showed throughout the regular season that they have the talent to be title contenders. Going 14-4 in the Big 12 is no easy task, but Kansas proved that it could handle its business night after night.
It also helps when you have the talent that the Jayhawks do.
It all starts with the Big 12's leading scorer, Ochai Agbaji. He averaged almost 20 points per game and was a KenPom MVP in nine of 30 conference games. When Agbaji was not at his best, the veteran big man David McCormack picked up the slack. McCormack was the leading offensive rebounder in the Big 12 and became a matchup nightmare for any team that lacked the size to contend with him.
The duo of Agbaji and McCormack alone make Kansas tough to knock off — hence how they reached the Final Four.
More About Villanova
Shane McNichol: When Jay Wright’s guys play to their potential, Villanova is the best team coming out of the Big East, by a somewhat comfortable margin.
Villanova sorely lacks depth, though, ranking outside the top 300 in percentage of minutes played by bench players this season, per KenPom. Wright has six players he trusts and three more he’ll play in spurts as needed. When either of his two star guards head to the bench, Villanova looks out of sorts.
According to on/off data from Hoop Explorer, when Villanova plays without senior point guard Collin Gillespie, the Wildcats’ offensive rating, 3-point rate and percentage and assist rate take a dive, while turnovers jump upward. Those trends continue when second-leading scorer Justin Moore sits.
In the very rare case when both sit — just 81 possessions all season — Villanova’s offense craters.