Kentucky vs. Troy Odds, Opening Spread, Predictions for 2025 NCAA Tournament

Kentucky vs. Troy Odds, Opening Spread, Predictions for 2025 NCAA Tournament article feature image
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Kentucky vs. Troy Odds

Kentucky Logo
Friday, March 21
7:10 p.m. ET
CBS
Troy Logo
Kentucky Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-10.5
-102
152.5
-114o / -106u
-650
Troy Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+10.5
-120
152.5
-114o / -106u
+460
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute NCAAB odds here.
FanDuel Logo

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The 2025 NCAA Tournament field has been announced and Kentucky will take on Troy in Round 1 of the Midwest region. Here's everything you need to know about Kentucky vs. Troy odds, spread and more.

Kentucky opened as a 10.5-point favorite over Troy in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. The total is set at over/under 152.5 points scored by both teams combined.

Find out how No. 3-seeded Kentucky and No. 14-seeded Troy match up ahead of their opening round matchup.


Kentucky vs. Troy Analysis

This matchup is fantastic for the underdog Troy Trojans.

They have one of the best on-ball defenders in the country in Tayton Conerway, who ranked third nationally in steal rate, per KenPom. The Trojans press at a top-30 rate nationally, per Synergy, and they can really take teams out of their comfort zones.

Kentucky, meanwhile, is without Kerr Kriisa and Jaxson Robinson, and starting point guard Lamont Butler’s health is a major question mark. The Wildcats have looked vulnerable without their floor leader at times this season, and his absence would be especially harmful against Troy.

On the other end, Troy’s biggest weakness is its own sloppiness, ranking 333rd in turnover rate per KenPom. UK’s hyper-conservative drop defense does not force miscues, though, so Troy will not get punished for its sloppiness.

Kentucky will also not take advantage of Troy’s shaky defensive rebounding. With multiple key matchup edges, I think the Trojans can hang around here.

The Pick: Troy +10.5

— Jim Root


For more coverage of the 2025 NCAA Tournament and Selection Sunday, make sure to check out our experts' live reactions to the bracket reveal and the Selection Sunday live show, where you can get their instant analysis on every matchup as well as some early insights to help you make your bets.

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