The Missouri Tigers take on the Florida Gators in Gainesville, FL. Tip-off is set for 9 p.m. ET on ESPNU.
Florida is favored by 10.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -625. The total is set at 154.5 points.
Here are my Missouri vs. Florida predictions and college basketball picks for January 14, 2025.
Missouri vs Florida Prediction
My Pick: Over 155 (Play to 156.5)
My Missouri vs Florida best bet is on the over, with the best odds currently available at DraftKings. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Missouri vs Florida Odds, Lines
| Missouri Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+10.5 -112 | 154.5 -112 / -108 | +455 |
| Florida Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-10.5 -108 | 154.5 -112 / -108 | -625 |
- Missouri vs Florida spread: Florida -10.5
- Missouri vs Florida over/under: 154.5 points
- Missouri vs Florida moneyline: Florida -625, Missouri +455
- Missouri vs Florida best bet: Over 155 (Play to 156.5)
Missouri vs Florida NCAAB Betting Preview
The Missouri Tigers face one of their most significant tests of the season when they travel to Gainesville to take on the Florida Gators.
The Gators are coming off an impressive week in which they completely dismantled Tennessee and comfortably beat Arkansas.
It’s an intriguing matchup between two excellent offensive teams, which led to my betting pick of the over. Right now, the total is 155, and I was happy to snag that once the line opened.
The Tigers’ offense ranks 28th in adjusted offensive efficiency. They’re also 15th in the country in effective field goal percentage and have a very deep basketball team.
Missouri has a lot of size, which will allow it to match up with Florida’s physical frontcourt. I also like that the Tigers take a ton of 3s, just like the Gators do.
Both Florida and Mizzou rank inside the top 45 in 3-point percentage, specifically the Gators, who are a sparklingly third in the country in that category.
The Tigers also score extremely well inside the arc. Even though the Gators are seventh in defensive 2-point percentage, they'll have opportunities.
The Tigers don't like to go fast on offense, but I feel like Florida will turn the matchup into a track meet. I also like that the Gators’ offensive performance was underwhelming this past weekend, which leads me to believe we'll see a solid offensive bounce-back effort.
What’s also working in our favor is that the Tigers are second in the nation in free throw attempts per game, which means they love to earn their trips to the foul line. That'll give them an abundance of chances to generate easy points with no time coming off the clock.
Florida should be able to take advantage of Missouri's poor perimeter defense, which has allowed its opponents to shoot 36% from deep. The Tigers also rank outside the top 250 in offensive rebounds per game, allowing the Gators plenty of easy put backs and second-scoring chances.
It’s also no surprise that the Gators' offense is this talented, considering they're led by arguably the best backcourt in the country. Missouri doesn’t have the defensive chops to contain them for 40 minutes, even if they have the depth advantage.
Missouri is coming off decisive wins against LSU and Vanderbilt, but I believe it'll have its hands full here. The Tigers should get plenty of scoring chances, though, and I consider this an excellent spot for both teams to shine in what should be a fun offensive affair.
