Updated Final Four Odds, Chances, Projections: Duke and Virginia Lead the Way

Action Network Staff

Updated:

Sep 23, 2021, 08:34 PM EDT

Updated Final Four Odds, Chances, Projections: Duke and Virginia Lead the Way article feature image

Credit:

USA Today Sports

The Sweet 16 is officially set.
Check out the odds for each of the remaining teams to reach the Elite 8, Final 4 and Championship Game.

As the NCAA Tournament progresses, things change. Quickly.

We're updating each team's chances to make each round of the NCAA Tournament using Sean Koerner's projections. You can access those full projections and make spreads for every game in our bracket simulator.

There's also a full round-by-round sortable table at the bottom of this post.

#1 Duke NCAA Tournament Projections

Elite 8: 85.2%
Final 4: 60.4%
Finals: 40.1%
Win Championship: 26.8%

#1 Virginia NCAA Tournament Projections

Elite 8: 84.1%
Final 4: 53%
Finals: 31.5%
Win Championship: 15.5%

Our Projected Odds for UNC-Auburn, Every Sweet 16 NCAA Tournament Game Read now

#1 Gonzaga NCAA Tournament Projections

Elite 8: 75.2%
Final 4: 47.4%
Finals: 23.6%
Win Championship: 13.8%

#2 Kentucky NCAA Tournament Projections

Elite 8: 75.2%
Final 4: 42.1%
Finals: 21.7%
Win Championship: 9.6%

#1 North Carolina NCAA Tournament Projections

Elite 8: 69.1%
Final 4: 38.9%
Finals: 20.1%
Win Championship: 8.8%

North Carolina vs. Auburn Betting Odds: Opening Spread for NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 Read now

#2 Michigan State NCAA Tournament Projections

Elite 8: 72.3%
Final 4: 28.9%
Finals: 14.7%
Win Championship: 7.5%

#2 Michigan NCAA Tournament Projections

Elite 8: 55.4%
Final 4: 25.4%
Finals: 10%
Win Championship: 4.8%

#2 Tennessee NCAA Tournament Projections

Elite 8: 55.4%
Final 4: 25%
Finals: 12.2%
Win Championship: 4.8%

Tennessee vs. Purdue Betting Odds: Opening Spread for NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 Read now

#3 Texas Tech NCAA Tournament Projections

Elite 8: 44.6%
Final 4: 18.2%
Finals: 6.3%
Win Championship: 2.7%

#3 Purdue NCAA Tournament Projections

Elite 8: 44.6%
Final 4: 17.9%
Finals: 7.8%
Win Championship: 2.6%

#5 Auburn NCAA Tournament Projections

Elite 8: 30.9%
Final 4: 11.5%
Finals: 3.8%
Win Championship: 1%

#4 Florida State NCAA Tournament Projections

Elite 8: 24.8%
Final 4: 9%
Finals: 2.3%
Win Championship: 0.7%

Gonzaga-Florida State Betting Odds: Opening Spread for NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 Read now

#3 Houston NCAA Tournament Projections

Elite 8: 24.8%
Final 4: 7.5%
Finals: 2%
Win Championship: 0.4%

#3 LSU NCAA Tournament Projections

Elite 8: 27.7%
Final 4: 5.9%
Finals: 1.7%
Win Championship: 0.5%

Michigan State vs. LSU Betting Odds: Opening Spread for NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 Read now

#4 Virginia Tech NCAA Tournament Projections

Elite 8: 14.8%
Final 4: 4.8%
Finals: 1.3%
Win Championship: 0.4%

#12 Oregon NCAA Tournament Projections

Elite 8: 15.9%
Final 4: 4%
Finals: 0.9%
Win Championship: 0.2%

Koerner's Full Round-by-Round Projections for Every NCAA Tournament Team

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