With the Sweet 16 almost set, it's time to start looking ahead to the NCAA Tournament games being played next Thursday and Friday.
We’ve used my power ratings to project NCAA Tournament odds. If you're into this kind of thing, you can see my spreads for every possible tournament matchup within our Bracket Simulator.
We'll be updating this post as more Sweet 16 matchups get finalized on Sunday night.
THURSDAY GAMES
Projected Odds: #1 Gonzaga vs. #4 Florida State
- Spread: Gonzaga -7.5
- Over/Under: 146.5
- Score: Florida State 69.5 | Gonzaga 77
- Win Probability: Florida State 23.2% | Gonzaga 76.8%
Projected Odds: #2 Tennessee vs. #3 Purdue
- Spread: Tennessee -1.5
- Over/Under: 145.5
- Score: Tennessee 73.5 | Purdue 72
- Win Probability: Tennessee 53.1% | Purdue 46.9%
Our Projected Odds: Michigan vs. Texas Tech
- Spread: Michigan -1.5
- Total: 121.5
- Proj Score: Michigan 61.5 | Texas Tech 60
- Win Probability: Michigan 53.1% | Texas Tech 46.9%
Our Projected Odds: Virginia vs. Oregon
- Spread: Virginia -11
- Total: 121.5
- Proj Score: Virginia 66.5 | Oregon 55.5
- Win Probability: Virginia 86.3% | Oregon 13.7%
FRIDAY GAMES
Our Projected Odds: #2 Michigan State vs. #3 LSU
- Spread: Michigan State -6.5
- Total: 147.5
- Proj Score: Michigan State 77 | LSU 70.5
- Win Probability: Michigan State 73.3% | LSU 26.7%
Our Projected Odds: #1 UNC vs. #5 Auburn
- Spread: North Carolina -5.5
- Total: 151.5
- Proj Score: North Carolina 78.5 | Auburn 73
- Win Probability: North Carolina 70% | Auburn 30%
Our Projected Odds: Duke vs. Virginia Tech
- Spread: Duke -11.5
- Total: 142
- Proj Score: Duke 77 | Virginia Tech 65.5
- Win Probability: Duke 87.7% | Virginia Tech 12.3%
Our Projected Odds: Kentucky vs. Houston
- Spread: Kentucky -7.5
- Total: 132.5
- Proj Score: Kentucky 70 | Houston 62.5
- Win Probability: Kentucky 76.8% | Houston 23.2%
