The Nevada Wolf Pack take on the San Jose State Spartans in San Jose, California. Tip-off is set for 10 p.m. ET on FS1.
Nevada is favored by 5.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -258. The total is set at 135.5 points.
Here are my Nevada vs. San Jose State predictions and college basketball picks for February 14, 2025.
Nevada vs San Jose State Prediction
My Pick: PASS | Lean San Jose State +6
My Nevada vs San Jose State best bet is on the Spartans spread, with the best odds currently available at DraftKings. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Nevada vs San Jose State Odds
| Nevada Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-5.5 -115 | 135.5 -112 / -108 | -258 |
| San Jose State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+5.5 -105 | 135.5 -112 / -108 | +210 |
- Nevada vs San Jose State spread: Nevada -5.5
- Nevada vs San Jose State over/under: 135.5 points
- Nevada vs San Jose State moneyline: Nevada -258, San Jose State +210
- Nevada vs San Jose State best bet: PASS | Lean San Jose State +6
Spread
I'm passing on this game altogether. But I'd take the points with the Spartans if I had to pick a side.
Moneyline
I'm passing on the moneyline.
Over/Under
I'm passing on the total.
My Pick: PASS | Lean San Jose State +6
Nevada vs San Jose State College Basketball Betting Preview
San Jose State led by double-digits at the half in both matchups with San Diego State this season, and the Spartans blew both leads and lost outright, which is pretty wild.
Regardless, Friday is a decent bounce-back spot for the Spartans coming off their most recent blown lead to San Diego State. San Jose State is due for a big win after back-to-back losses against the Aztecs and Boise State Broncos.
Meanwhile, it’s a good letdown spot for Nevada coming off three straight wins, including two against Mountain West cellar dwellers (Air Force and Fresno State). The Wolf Pack could be due for some game-to-game shooting regression after canning 20 of their 47 triples over the past two games (43%).
Plus, I never need an excuse to back the Spartans, who are a nation-best 18-5-1 ATS this year. Tim Miles has done a tremendous job this year, even if the team is only 5-9 in league play.
Unfortunately, I don’t love the schematic matchup for San Jose State.
The Pack relentlessly run floppy in the half-court, putting their best shooters underneath the basket, running them around off-ball screens on the baseline and then cutting through the gaps.
The Spartans aren’t great at defending off-ball screening (.90 PPP allowed, 56th percentile, per Synergy) or cutting actions (1.23 PPP allowed, 30th percentile, per Synergy).
So, predictably, the Pack scored 21 points on 17 combined cutting and off-ball screen sets in their first head-to-head matchup with the Spartans on Jan. 18, suitable for a rock-solid 1.24 PPP (per Synergy).
On the other end of the court, San Jose State runs a lot of dribble handoff sets to find isolation switches. Unfortunately for the Spartans, Nevada does well defending against both actions (.69 ISO PPP allowed, 82nd percentile; .76 DHO PPP allowed, 67th percentile).
So, predictably, the Spartans had a tough time generating efficient offense in either set in the first matchup (combined 10 points on 14 sets, .71 PPP).
Nevada beat San Jose State by 11 on the road in that first matchup, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see the same result.
Then again, the result could’ve been different if the Spartans hadn’t had such a tough shooting night (8-for-27 from 3, 30%).
Ultimately, the situational spot points toward San Jose State, but the schematic matchup points toward Nevada, so I’ll ultimately pass on this game.
But if I had to pick a side, I’d take the points with the home pup that has been awesome against the spread and could be hunting for revenge after the first head-to-head loss.
