The Oklahoma Sooners take on the Georgia Bulldogs in the SEC Tournament. Tip-off is set for 9:30 p.m. ET on SEC Network.
Georgia is favored by 2.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -162. The total is set at 148.5 points.
Here are my Oklahoma vs. Georgia predictions and college basketball picks for March 12, 2025.
Oklahoma vs Georgia Prediction
My Pick: Georgia ML (-155 or Better)
My Oklahoma vs Georgia best bet is on the Bulldogs moneyline, with the best odds currently available at FanDuel. For all of your college basketball bets, find the best lines using our live NCAAB odds page.
Oklahoma vs Georgia Odds
| Oklahoma Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2.5 -105 | 148.5 -108o / -112u | +136 |
| Georgia Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2.5 -115 | 148.5 -108o / -112u | -162 |
- Oklahoma vs Georgia spread: Georgia -2.5
- Oklahoma vs Georgia over/under: 148.5 points
- Oklahoma vs Georgia moneyline: Georgia -162, Oklahoma +136
- Oklahoma vs Georgia best bet: Georgia ML (-155 or Better)
Spread
I'm passing on the spread.
Moneyline
I'll take the 'Dawgs to win this outright and lay a slightly juiced moneyline.
Over/Under
I'll pass on the over/under.
My Pick: Georgia ML (-155 or Better)
Oklahoma vs Georgia College Basketball Betting Preview
I’ve been hoping that Oklahoma won’t make the NCAA Tournament. There’s so much I dislike about the Sooners, mainly in the “extras” department (rebounding, turnovers, free throws).
Unfortunately, three wins in their final four games — combined with a 13-0 non-conference record (although against a weak schedule) — means they’ll most likely earn a bid regardless of this result on Wednesday. Bart Torvik projects that they have an 83% chance of making the tournament as an at-large.
Meanwhile, Torvik projects Georgia as a lock, and I think I agree after the Bulldogs won four straight to end the season, including a colossal home tilt with Florida.
That said, I think the Bulldogs will ride the “extras” to a convincing win in this matchup.
Georgia runs a pretty fun high-low, cutting and downhill pick-and-roll offense that generates plenty of interior opportunities. Specifically, the Bulldogs smash the offensive glass and live at the line — at the same time, Oklahoma can’t clean the boards and fouls incessantly.
Georgia hosted Oklahoma back in early January and pulled out a 10-point win because the Bulldogs won the rebounding battle by eight (including 12 offensive boards that led to 16 second-chance points), generated 15 points off turnovers and earned 37 free throw attempts (to Oklahoma’s nine).
The Bulldogs overcame a 3-for-17 (18%) 3-point shooting performance because of their effort in the extras. They could’ve won that game by 15 or 20 with more typical shooting splits.
I also trust Georgia’s defense against Oklahoma’s spread pick-and-roll offense led by star freshman guard Jeremiah Fears.
The Bulldogs are a borderline-elite ball-screen coverage defense (.82 PPP allowed, 87th percentile, per Synergy) and held the Sooners to 19 points on 28 sets (.62 PPP) in the first head-to-head meeting while owning the rim with eight blocks.
Fears finished with two points on 1-for-7 shooting with four turnovers to just five assists, arguably his worst performance of the season.
While I mostly expect Georgia to win on the extras, I don’t trust Oklahoma’s porous interior defense (317th in 2-point defense, 55%, per KenPom) to hang with Asa Newell in cutting, posting and high-low sets.
The star freshman scored 15 points on 5-for-9 interior shooting in the first matchup, while frontcourt running mate RJ Godfrey dropped 15 by generating five points on four post-up sets.
I like how the ‘Dawgs match up in this battle schematically, as shown in the first meeting. Georgia should roll if a few extra triples fall — perhaps from Newell himself.
