The Oklahoma Sooners take on the Missouri Tigers in Columbia, Missouri. Tip-off is set for 9 p.m. ET on SEC Network.
Missouri is favored by 8.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -395. The total is set at 151.5 points.
Here are my Oklahoma vs. Missouri predictions and college basketball picks for February 12, 2025.
Oklahoma vs Missouri Prediction
My Pick: PASS | Lean Missouri -8.5
My Oklahoma vs Missouri best bet is on the Tigers, with the best odds currently available at DraftKings. For all of your college basketball bets, find the best lines using our live NCAAB odds page.
Oklahoma vs Missouri Odds
| Oklahoma Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+8.5 -115 | 151.5 -115 / -105 | +310 |
| Missouri Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-8.5 -105 | 151.5 -115 / -105 | -395 |
- Oklahoma vs Missouri spread: Missouri -8.5
- Oklahoma vs Missouri over/under: 151.5 points
- Oklahoma vs Missouri moneyline: Missouri -395, Oklahoma +310
- Oklahoma vs Missouri best bet: PASS | Lean Missouri -8.5
Spread
I'm passing on this game altogether. But if I had to pick a side, I'd lay the points with the Tigers.
Moneyline
I'm passing on the moneyline.
Over/Under
I'm passing on the over/under.
My Pick: PASS | Lean Missouri -8.5
Oklahoma vs Missouri College Basketball Betting Preview
It’s Mizzou or nothing here.
Oklahoma runs a downhill-driving, rim-running, ball-screen-centric attack led by standout freshman guard Jeremiah Fears.
But Missouri’s switch-everything, iso-funneling defense is elite in ball-screen coverage and rim protection. The Tigers allow the second-fewest pick-and-roll points per game in the SEC (14, per Synergy).
Conversely, Missouri runs a more secondary motion-based offense, mainly through perimeter off-ball screening actions — the Tigers are an elite spacing and shot-selection team.
Meanwhile, I think Oklahoma’s perimeter defense is a little overvalued. The Sooners rank 11th in the SEC in 3-point rate allowed (42%, per KenPom), but opponents have made only 31% of their triples.
Some regression could be looming, and Mizzou should be able to run its offense.
The more significant issue for Oklahoma is in the shot-volume battle.
Fears, like so many other freshmen, keeps coughing up the ball, so Oklahoma ranks 14th in the SEC in offensive turnover rate (20%).
The Sooners are also arguably the SEC’s worst two-way rebounding team, while Missouri has cleaned the glass very well in conference play — this is a very tough Tigers squad.
Missouri ranks seventh in the conference in field goal attempt differential (+10, per CBB Analytics), while Oklahoma ranks third-to-last (-42, per CBB Analytics).
That said, Porter Moser has been solid as an underdog, hitting at around 53% with the Sooners, including a 69-61 ATS record as a road ‘dog.
That'll likely keep me away, but it’s Tigers or nothing.
