Women’s NCAA Tournament: Ole Miss vs. Louisville Betting Picks

Women’s NCAA Tournament: Ole Miss vs. Louisville Betting Picks article feature image
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Bob Kupbens/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: The Ole Miss Rebels frontline during the second round of the NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament.

  • The Ole Miss Rebels and Louisville Cardinals meet in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Women's Tournament.
  • Louisville is a short 2.5-point favorite, but Dano Mataya is focused on the total in this game, which is set at 125.5.
  • Check out the betting breakdown for Ole Miss vs. Louisville.

Ole Miss vs. Louisville Odds

Friday, March 24
10 p.m. ET
ESPN
Ole Miss Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+2.5
-110
125.5
-110o / -110u
+125
Louisville Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-2.5
-110
125.5
-110o / -110u
-145
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute college basketball odds here.

The Ole Miss Rebels and Louisville Cardinals square off in the Sweet 16 Friday on ESPN for a spot in the Elite 8.

Louisville edged by No. 12 Drake to open the tournament before beating No. 4 Texas to reach the second weekend. Ole Miss has put together two convincing wins over No. 9 Gonzaga and No. 1 Stanford.

With a tight spread in Friday's matchup, the best value may actually be the over/under in this game. Let's break down what you need to know to bet Ole Miss vs. Louisville.


Action has partnered with Her Hoop Stats for coverage of the 2023 Women's NCAA Tournament — check Action for Dano Mataya's best gameday bets through the national championship!


Ole Miss Rebels

The Rebels' upset over Stanford Sunday became old news quickly as we saw No. 1 Indiana fall to No. 9 Miami the following evening.

Still, the defensive intensity Coach Yo’s squad exhibited against the Cardinal cannot be overlooked, especially considering how difficult it was for the Rebels to score inside the arc. According to ESPN Stats & Info, the Rebels were only the second team since 1999-2000 to win a game despite shooting below 27% on 2-point field goals against a top-five ranked team.

The offense wasn’t flashy, but Ole Miss was firmly in control after holding Stanford to a season low 20 first half points.

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Louisville Cardinals

The Cardinals dominated the Texas Longhorns, outscoring the host team 57-35 after a tied first quarter. Texas was held to their lowest assist total in NCAA tournament history and their lowest assist total at home in 13 seasons.

Coach Jeff Walz has a simple game plan: push the ball and make other players outside of Rori Harmon beat them. It worked like a charm against the Longhorns.


Ole Miss vs. Louisville Betting Pick

In a battle between the two top defenses in this tournament outside of the South Carolina Gamecocks, I expect this game to be an absolute war.

Both teams rebound in the top 25% of the country, and both teams are in the bottom 20% in terms of points scored from the 3-point line. As long as this game doesn't become a contest at a the charity stripe with 45-plus free throws, I expect a low scoring affair.

Our HerHoopStats.com model predicts a narrow 63-62 win for the Rebels, but in the Sweet Sixteen I like the Under.

Pick: Under 126.5

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