The Oregon Ducks take on the Wisconsin Badgers in Madison, Wisconsin. Tip-off is set for 12 p.m. ET on FOX.
Wisconsin is favored by 8.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -400. The total is set at 155 points.
Here are my Oregon vs. Wisconsin predictions and college basketball picks for February 22, 2025.
Oregon vs Wisconsin Prediction
My Pick: Over 155.5 (Play to 156.5)
My Oregon vs Wisconsin best bet is on the over, with the best odds currently available at DraftKings. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Oregon vs Wisconsin Odds, Spread, Pick
| Oregon Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+8.5 -105 | 155 -110 / -110 | +320 |
| Wisconsin Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-8.5 -115 | 155 -110 / -110 | -400 |
- Oregon vs Wisconsin spread: Wisconsin -8.5
- Oregon vs Wisconsin over/under: 155 points
- Oregon vs Wisconsin moneyline: Wisconsin -400, Oregon +320
- Oregon vs Wisconsin best bet: Over 155.5 (Play to 156.5)
My Oregon vs Wisconsin College Basketball Betting Preview
The Badgers are in the midst of their best season since Bo Ryan was calling the shots. Wisconsin ranks No. 7 in KenPom entering this game, which is a program best since 2014-15.
The main culprit for Wisconsin’s sudden resurgence? A new offensive scheme with pace and loads of shooting. The Badgers play the fastest tempo of head coach Greg Gard’s tenure by far and shoot 3s on 48.7% of their possessions.
Everybody who touches the floor can shoot, and that’s very difficult to defend with a 6-foot-11 big in Nolan Winter and a 7-footer in Steven Crowl — both of whom are also great passers.
The bigs also make life easier on Wisconsin’s stout guard trio, buoyed by stud John Tonje, who has scored 22-plus points in seven of his last eight games.
Meanwhile, John Blackwell and Max Klesmit trail Tonje as the Badgers' second- and third-leading scorers.
However, Wisconsin isn’t the best defensive team on the planet. The Badgers rank just 40th in defensive efficiency, which is pretty low for a team ranked inside KenPom’s top 10. That should lead to a friendly outcome for the over.
I also understand people questioning if Wisconsin is actually good. Once someone has been burnt by a team masquerading as an actual contender and tapering out into obscurity, it makes sense to be skeptical. But Gard has changed everything with Wisconsin, so the high total shouldn’t scare them off.
On the other side, Oregon had the feel of a top-10 caliber squad early in the year, but it lost five straight contests from Jan. 25-Feb. 8. The Ducks have bounced back since then by winning three consecutive games against bad teams in Iowa, Northwestern and Rutgers.
Even still, Oregon’s defense looked like a turnstile against seriously wounded teams. Iowa and Northwestern tallied 1.22 points per possession and 1.12 PPP in narrow losses. I don’t see that somehow leading to a low-scoring game against an elite offense.
Nothing about Oregon’s offense is amazing. The Ducks shoot 52% from 2 and 34% from 3, which ranks outside the top 100 nationally in both categories.
But I have some trust in Oregon putting up around 75 points given its 153rd-ranked tempo and plethora of weapons like Jackson Shelstad and pick-and-pop specialist Nate Bittle.
Wisconsin should figure out the easiest way to get Tonje the ball and let him drive. He’s such an outstanding driver and is shooting 91% from the line. Stopped clock points via free throws are amazing for over.
Plus, Oregon ranks just 187th nationally at defending inside the arc.
While the total is trending upward, I’m comfortable playing it to 156.5. I see a very high-scoring contest between two teams that have recently been great "over" teams
