The Oregon State Beavers take on the San Francisco Dons in San Francisco, CA. Tip-off is set for 10 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
San Francisco is favored by 3 points on the spread with a moneyline of -150. The total is set at 140.5 points.
Here are my Oregon State vs. San Francisco predictions and college basketball picks for January 18, 2025.
Oregon State vs San Francisco Prediction
My Pick: San Francisco -3
My Oregon State vs San Francisco best bet is on the Dons spread, with the best odds currently available at bet365. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Oregon State vs San Francisco Odds
| Oregon State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3 -115 | 140.5 -110o / -110u | +125 |
| San Francisco Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3 -105 | 140.5 -110o / -110u | -150 |
- Oregon State vs San Francisco spread: San Francisco -3
- Oregon State vs San Francisco over/under: 140.5 points
- Oregon State vs San Francisco moneyline: San Francisco -150, Oregon State +125
- Oregon State vs San Francisco best bet: San Francisco -3
Spread
I'm taking the Dons on the spread.
Moneyline
I have no play on the moneyline.
Over/Under
I have no play on the total.
My Pick: San Francisco -3
Oregon State vs San Francisco College Basketball Betting Preview
This is a tough spot for the Beavers after their massive upset against Gonzaga on Thursday night in their Super Bowl of the regular season.
It also took overtime, which is noteworthy considering Oregon State doesn't have much depth (320th in bench minutes, per KenPom).
We could see some fatigue on close outs during a quick turnaround road game against a Dons bunch that has an extra day of rest and preparation with no travel after an easy home victory on Wednesday.
Schematically, Oregon State plays zone on defense at a top-25 rate nationally under head coach Wayne Tinkle. That might not be as effective in this particular matchup.
While not a huge sample size, San Francisco does grade out elite against zone, ranking fifth in the country in points per possession, per Synergy. Plus, the Dons just saw zone on a season-high 23 possessions in their most recent game against Pepperdine.
As you might expect, Oregon State allows a high volume of 3-point attempts (291st in 3PA rate allowed).
Well, San Francisco will happily oblige from deep. The Dons rank 52nd in 3-point attempt rate and make them at a top-100 clip, with everyone on the roster capable of connecting from deep, led by the dynamic senior backcourt duo of Marcus Williams (39%) and Malik Thomas (40%).
Even seven-foot center Carlton Linguard can hit a few from beyond the arc (23-of-80 on the season).
Oregon State also boasts a bevy of deadly shooters, who have connected on nearly 38% of their 3-point attempts this season (32nd).
However, San Francisco does a very adequate job of limiting opponents from the outside. The Dons are also good enough at defending in the post, where Oregon State likes to work through in the half-court.
Lastly, it's not like the Beavers have been overly impressive in true road games this season.
Here are their results:
- L 58-55 at North Texas
- L 82-61 at Loyola Marymount
- L 82-81 at Santa Clara
- W 91-55 at Pacific
Give me the jump-shooting Dons to get it done at War Memorial.
