My bracket is filled out (pending the play-in games), and now it's time for the games.
The first game on the docket tonight is St. Francis vs. Alabama State. The Red Flash were under .500 this season but went on an impressive run in the NEC conference tournament and is here in the big dance.
I'm starting the tournament with a bang. We're betting a rebounding over for a St. Francis player and laddering him. It's March Madness!
I'm going a step further on this prop with ladders. Here are the ladder bets I'm making for Pinedo at DraftKings.
7+ Rebounds (+135, 1 unit)
8+ Rebounds (+250, 0.7 units)
9+ Rebounds (+475, 0.5 units)
10+ Rebounds +850, 0.2 units)
This is an eruption spot for Pinedo against Alabama State, a team that rarely turns the ball over. That means the Hornets get plenty of shots up, but they’re also one of the worst shooting teams in the country. That creates a high-rebound opportunity for Pinedo.
Alabama State doesn’t get to the line much and when it does, it's a poor FT shooting team. As the center, Pinedo should be in the mix for missed free throws while also benefiting from Alabama State being a weak rebounding team, creating even more opportunities on the glass.
We project Pinedo closer to 8.5 rebounds, which means this prop is way off. Laddering up to 10+ rebounds at +850 on DraftKings is a sharp play.
PrizePicks you can pair this up with T.J. Madlock Less Than 14.5 points. We are projecting him closer to 13 points and it correlates nicely with Pinedo’s rebounds. Madlock Less Than 14.5 points + Pinedo More Than 7.5 Rebounds for 5x payout is the sweet spot in my opinion.
