The Texas A&M Aggies take on the Florida Gators in Gainesville, FL. Tip-off is set for 8:30 p.m. ET on SEC Network.
Florida is favored by 9.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -470. The total is set at 148.5 points.
Here are my Texas A&M vs. Florida predictions and college basketball picks for March 1, 2025.
Texas A&M vs Florida Prediction
My Pick: Texas A&M +9.5
My Texas A&M vs. Florida best bet is on the Aggies to cover the spread, with the best odds currently available at DraftKings. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Texas A&M vs Florida Odds
| Texas A&M Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+9.5 -110 | 148.5 -105o / -115u | +360 |
| Florida Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-9.5 -110 | 148.5 -105o / -115u | -470 |
- Texas A&M vs Florida spread: Florida -9.5
- Texas A&M vs Florida over/under: 148.5 points
- Texas A&M vs Florida moneyline: Florida -470, Texas A&M +360
- Texas A&M vs Florida best bet: Texas A&M +9.5
Spread
My best bet for this game is for Texas A&M to cover the spread. I think the Aggies can hang with the Gators enough to stay within the number in this spot.
Moneyline
While I'm betting the Aggies to cover, I don't see value on them to win outright.
Over/Under
I'm staying away from the total in this game.
My Pick: Texas A&M +9.5
Texas A&M vs Florida College Basketball Betting Preview
An SEC heavyweight battle between two top squads tips off on Saturday, as the Aggies head to Gainesville to square off with the Gators.
Texas A&M has been struggling of late, losing its last three contests and taking a tumble down KenPom’s standings (13 to 21) and the NCAA Tournament S Curve over the past two weeks.
Florida enters this game still smarting off a loss at Georgia, but the Gators are still right in the mix for a 1-seed in the Big Dance.
A&M’s offense revolves around the offensive glass — in fact, it’s hard to even call the Aggies offense an “offense” without the boards. They can't shoot or finish anywhere, ranking 254th in rim field-goal percentage, 268th in 2-point percentage and 325th in 3-point percentage.
The Aggies need to get as many shots at the bucket as possible and earn a multitude of trips to the free-throw line (worst FT shooting team in the SEC) to score.
Buzz Williams and Co. get by with this style because they have a top-notch defense and are the very best offensive-rebounding team in the country.
Florida has a ton of size and depth up front and will challenge A&M on the glass. Alex Condon is on the mend, and Micah Handlogten recently came back from injury as well.
It’s highly likely analytical head coach Todd Golden uses all of his bigs to soften up the A&M frontline and play a little hack-a-Shaq with the Aggies’ poor free-throw shooters.
A&M needs to get to the rim to score — it ranks 25th nationally in FGA rate at the cup — but Florida ranks 14th in the county in field-goal percentage allowed near the rim. A strength-on-strength battle will ensue.
Luckily for A&M, it has two game-breakers in Wade Taylor IV and Zhuric Phelps.
The erratic guard tandem spearheads a feast-or-famine offense — they’ll both hit some big shots in crunch time but also take a ton of bad ones.
Isolation and ball screens are prevalent in Williams' offense, with Taylor, Phelps and Manny Obaseki basically told to make plays off the bounce.
This approach should be schemed effectively by Florida, which has a strong, experienced guard group capable of competing on the perimeter. Look for Golden's team to sag off bad shooters on the arc and take some fouls against the Aggies' bricky free-throw shooters.
Florida has been excellent at bottling up dribble penetration and defending iso-ball all season long, and it should fare even better against A&M by being able to ignore the 3-point arc.
Florida is one of three teams in the country that ranks in the top 10 in both offensive and defensive efficiency, per KenPom, along with Duke and Houston. The Gators are deep, experienced, balanced, tough and well-coached.
A&M can struggle against good shooting teams, and Florida fits that bill too. The Gators rank third in the SEC in 3-point attempt rate and sixth in 3-point percentage.
They also don’t turn the ball over, and their size makes them a threat to grab second chances off the glass — both keys against the vaunted Aggies defense.
The Gators look to push in transition as much as possible, and this is an area in which they could exploit A&M. The Aggies grade out as an average transition defense team, per Synergy, as their glass sellout can often leave them vulnerable going the other way against good defensive rebounding teams.
In the half-court, Florida is versatile, able to play through the post, and uses an array of ball screens and intricate off-ball cuts. The Gators are unselfish, and the Aggies allow the second-highest assist rate in the country.
Florida's shot attempts are more or less restricted to the rim and 3-ball, as the Gators largely eschew the inefficient midrange shot. A&M’s paint defense is terrific with its strong, athletic, physical frontcourt, but it’s susceptible to the long ball.
This matchup favors Florida pretty heavily, but the spread is enormous.
A&M is a tough team to blow out with its ability to defend and wear opponents down with physicality. Look for the Gators to walk away with a victory but for A&M to keep it close throughout and compete until the very end.
