The Texas A&M Aggies take on the Missouri Tigers in Columbia, Missouri. Tip-off is set for 3:30 p.m. ET on SEC Network.
Missouri is favored by 4.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -190. The total is set at 146 points.
Here are my Texas A&M vs. Missouri predictions and college basketball picks for February 8, 2025.
Texas A&M vs Missouri Prediction
My Pick: Missouri -2.5 (Play to -4)
My Texas A&M vs Missouri best bet is on the Tigers spread, with the best odds currently available at BetRivers. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Texas A&M vs Missouri Odds, Spread, Pick
| Texas A&M Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+4.5 -110 | 146 -110 / -110 | +160 |
| Missouri Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-4.5 -110 | 146 -110 / -110 | -190 |
- Texas A&M vs Missouri spread: Missouri -4.5
- Texas A&M vs Missouri over/under: 146 points
- Texas A&M vs Missouri moneyline: Missouri -190, Texas A&M +160
- Texas A&M vs Missouri best bet: Missouri -2.5 (Play to -4)
My Texas A&M vs Missouri College Basketball Betting Preview
Texas A&M and Missouri are locked in a three-way tie for third place in the best college basketball conference in America.
The Aggies are looking to stay in the hunt for a two-seed in the Big Dance, which would be the program’s highest seed in history. Meanwhile, the Tigers look to continue their surprise run while racking up another league win after finishing 0-18 last season.
A&M’s edge in every contest is on the offensive glass. Buzz Williams’ squad has led the nation for two straight years in offensive rebounding rate thanks to its unmatched physicality, tenacity, size and strength.
In Williams' four career games against Mizzou’s Dennis Gates, his Aggies have grabbed 15, 16, 10 and 16 offensive rebounds, or 36%, 49%, 39% and 53% of their misses. Those are eye popping numbers and have been the driver to Williams' 4-0 record against Gates.
This year’s Mizzou squad is by far Gates’ best rebounding team in Columbia. The Tigers rank 245th nationally in defensive rebounding rate — up from 358th and 362nd in the two seasons prior — and second in SEC play.
Mizzou has real size this season, at least enough to challenge an Aggie squad that's brutalized it on the boards time and time again.
The glass is how A&M gets its offense, otherwise it runs an inefficient half-court attack. The Aggies can’t shoot and they rely on pounding the ball to the rim to score; per CBB Analytics, A&M ranks 21st nationally in field goal attempt rate at the rim.
Mizzou has been decent protecting the rim this year (35th in rim field goal percentage allowed), and guys like Josh Gray and Mark Mitchell are bulldogs defensively.
Gates’ lineups are unpredictable, but it’s likely we see more Marvel Allen and Aidan Shaw — two physical forwards — and less Jacob Crews — a more finesse shooter — to combat the Aggies’ glass and rim onslaught. But really, it’s anyone’s guess.
A&M ranks eighth nationally in isolation usage, and Williams' offense can quickly turn into a “my turn, your turn” tea party between Zhuric Phelps, Wade Taylor IV and Manny Obaseki.
Mizzou has a sizable backcourt chock full of athleticism and quickness. One-on-one basketball won’t beat these Tigers, and A&M must value the ball against a team that'll pressure it for a full 40.
On the other end, Mizzou’s offense has been ridiculous this season, and per Bart Torvik, it’s been the best offense in the nation over the past month (130.5 adjusted offensive rating).
The Tigers boast the nation’s second-highest free throw attempt rate, with Mitchell and Anthony Robinson II being foul magnets. A&M’s physicality and aggressiveness will lead to plenty of foul shot attempts for Mizzou.
Unlike the Aggies, Mizzou can actually shoot. The Tigers are a hair under 40% from deep in SEC play and have multiple guys who can light it up from outside the arc. Caleb Grill ranks seventh in the country against Division I competition from distance, shooting 49.5%.
A&M’s sagging defense will play right into Mizzou’s hands. The Aggies protect the paint and rim above all else and generally force teams to beat them with jumpers. They’ve allowed the league’s highest 3-point attempt rate this year and rank 12th in 3-point field goal percentage allowed in the SEC.
We saw Penn State dismantle A&M in the NCAA Tournament in 2023, and that could be Mizzou’s blueprint on Saturday.
Look for the Tigers to also force the issue in transition, an area the Aggies have graded out as “average” at stopping this season, per Synergy.
Mizzou has more matchup edges in this game; it has the home crowd and it has the momentum. The Tigers should take care of business and continue their impressive renaissance season.
