The Texas A&M Aggies take on the Ole Miss Rebels in Oxford, MS. Tip-off is set for 9 p.m. ET on ESPN2.
Ole Miss is favored by 3.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -180. The total is set at 141.5 points.
Here are my Texas A&M vs. Ole Miss predictions and college basketball picks for January 22, 2025.
Texas A&M vs Ole Miss Prediction
My Pick: Ole Miss -3.5 (Play to -4)
My Texas A&M vs Ole Miss best bet is on the Rebels spread, with the best odds currently available at DraftKings. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Texas A&M vs Ole Miss Odds
Texas A&M Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 -112 | 141.5 -108 / -112 | +150 |
Ole Miss Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 -108 | 141.5 -108 / -112 | -180 |
- Texas A&M vs Ole Miss spread: Ole Miss -3.5
- Texas A&M vs Ole Miss over/under: 141.5 points
- Texas A&M vs Ole Miss moneyline: Ole Miss -180, Texas A&M +150
- Texas A&M vs Ole Miss best bet: Ole Miss -3.5 (Play to -4)
Spread
I like Ole Miss up to -4.
Moneyline
There's no value on the moneyline.
Over/Under
I don't have a play on the total.
My Pick: Ole Miss -3.5 (Play to -4)
Texas A&M vs Ole Miss College Basketball Betting Preview
Texas A&M Basketball
Welcome back, Wade! Wade Taylor IV returned and scored 15 points in 24 minutes in the Aggies' win on Saturday over LSU. He represents the most reliable scoring option on Texas A&M's roster and forms a strong duo next to Zhuric Phelps.
Taylor and Phelps combine for over 31 points per game and are the lone players on the roster averaging double-digit points.
We'll see if somebody else can step up and help the stars out in hostile territory.
In general, Texas A&M's offense is fairly unimpressive, ranking 39th in KenPom's offensive efficiency while shooting 50% from 2 and 30% from 3.
Those numbers don't typically suggest a top-40 offense in the sport, but the Aggies create countless second chances on the offensive glass. They boast the best offensive rebounding rate in the country at 42%.
However, relying on offensive rebounds can lead to ebbs-and-flows offensively based on the opponent.
I just don't know how much faith I have in the Aggies' offense. Having to rely on offensive rebounds can work, and it may work well in this one, but the lack of shot-making can sting Texas A&M.
Where Buzz Williams' team holds the advantage is on the defensive end. Very few teams put forth the type of defensive pressure the Aggies do, as they rank 11th in KenPom's defensive efficiency with a dazzling 21.8% turnover rate.
If you back a team who turns the ball over versus A&M, good luck.
Ole Miss Basketball
Thankfully, Ole Miss' minuscule 13.3% turnover rate can counteract A&M's pressure defense. Scoring against this defense is tough either way, but avoiding careless turnovers is the biggest key.
The key to the outstanding turnover rate is the pair of point guards, Jaylen Murray and Sean Pedulla. Very few teams have a better pair of true point guards than the Rebels, as the two combine for over seven assists and three turnovers per game.
Pedulla is the team's leading scorer at 14 points per game, while shooting 38% from 3. Murray is second in scoring and shoots 40% from 3.
Similar to their opponents, the Rebels feast on turnovers. That shouldn't come as a surprise if you look at the coaching staff — Chris Beard is at the controls and Mark Adams keeps the defense in sync.
Thanks to their tutelage, Ole Miss ranks 13th in defensive efficiency with a 22.8% turnover rate. The positive is Texas A&M is less careful with the ball, posting a 17% offensive turnover rate, so Ole Miss has a great chance to win the turnover battle.
The Rebels also have an advantage in the shooting department. They convert on 35% of their shots from downtown, with Murray, Pedulla and forward Jaemyn Brakefield leading the attack.
Any shooting the Rebels get from the wing corps of Dre Davis, Matthew Murrell and Davon Barnes is a bonus.
Murrell is the one I think can shoot it better. He hit a monster 3 to push Mississippi State to overtime and is sitting around 32% from deep, so we'll see if he turns it around.
My lone concern about Ole Miss is on the glass. I love every part of this battle from a schematic standpoint, except for the Rebels' poor rebounding numbers. They won't win the glass battle, but they have to ensure they don't get dominated — like the Aggies do against many teams.
Texas A&M vs. Ole Miss Betting Analysis
I like the spot for the Rebels. They're coming off a week in which they easily could've gone 1-1 in tough road games, but they managed to split the pair against Alabama and Mississippi State.
Now heading back to Oxford, the Rebels will look to shake off any residual anger from the overtime loss, and Texas A&M will be the recipients.