The Texas A&M Aggies take on the Texas Longhorns in Austin, TX. Tip-off is set for 2:30 p.m. ET on ESPN2.
Texas is favored by 1 point on the spread with a moneyline of -112. The total is set at 141 points.
Here are my Texas A&M vs. Texas predictions and college basketball picks for January 25, 2025.
Texas A&M vs Texas Prediction and Pick
My Pick: Texas A&M ML -118 (Play to -130)
My Texas A&M vs Texas best bet is on the Aggies moneyline, with the best odds currently available at DraftKings. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Texas A&M vs Texas Odds, Lines
| Texas A&M Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1 -105 | 141.5 -108o / -112u | -102 |
| Texas Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1 -115 | 141.5 -108o / -112u | -118 |
- Texas A&M vs Texas spread: Texas -1
- Texas A&M vs Texas over/under: 141.5 points
- Texas A&M vs Texas moneyline: Texas -102, Texas A&M -118
- Texas A&M vs Texas best bet: Texas A&M ML -108 (Play to -130)
My Texas A&M vs Texas NCAAB Betting Preview
Texas A&M Basketball
Getting a road win in SEC play this year is as tough as any year in the league's history.
However, on Wednesday night, Texas A&M increased the difficulty even more. Down eight with less than two minutes to go against Ole Miss, the Aggies closed the game on an 11-2 run. Manny Obaseki hit the game-winning 3-pointer with 14 seconds left to help the Aggies escape with a 63-62 victory.
Wednesday night's slugfest was emblematic of how this season has gone for Texas A&M. It ranks outside the top 200 in 2-point field goal percentage, 3-point percentage, free throw percentage and effective goal percentage.
However, for the second consecutive year, Texas A&M leads Division I in offensive rebounding percentage. Its dominance on the glass has propelled it to rank 43rd in adjusted offensive efficiency.
While Obaseki was the hero the other night, Zhuric Phelps and Wade Taylor IV led the way for the Aggies. Phelps is averaging 15.5 points, 5.1 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game, while Taylor is averaging 14.7 points, 3.3 rebounds and 4.8 assists per game.
However, Taylor is shooting just 24% over his last three games, and the Aggies will need their senior leader to get going to knock off the rival Longhorns.
Phelps and Taylor are the only Aggies averaging 28 minutes per game this season. The other seven of its top nine players average between 16 and 23 minutes per game.
Head coach Buzz Williams' deep rotation helps his team stay fresh and maintain its relentless defensive pressure.
The Aggies are seventh in adjusted defensive efficiency this season. The Aggies are 18th in field goal percentage defense and 24th in turnover percentage. They're outrebounding their opponents by nine rebounds per game this season.
Texas Basketball
While the rival Aggies were coming back against Ole Miss, Texas was in a rock fight of its own against Missouri. Just seven points were scored in the game's first seven minutes before Texas pulled out a 61-53 victory.
Arthur Kaluma led the way with 14 points and 12 rebounds in the win, and he's averaging 13.8 points and 8.2 rebounds this season.
Tre Johnson scored 12 points, but he shot just 3-for-15 from the field. The standout freshman is averaging 18.2 points while shooting 45.8% from the field. However, he also struggled (2-for-13) in the first meeting against Texas A&M, so he'll be looking for a rebound performance on both counts.
Jordan Pope gives the team a strong third scorer, and he's really stepped up lately. Over his last nine games, he's averaging 17.2 points per game.
Johnson and Pope have each knocked down 35+ triples this season, and Texas is shooting 37.3% as a team.
The Longhorns are 51st in adjusted offensive efficiency this season, and their biggest strength may be protecting the ball. The Longhorns average just 9.6 turnovers per game and rank 24th in turnover percentage.
Texas committed 12 turnovers in the first meeting between the two, which turned into 12 Aggies points. Texas' ability to handle Texas A&M's pressure will be one of the key factors in deciding this game.
Texas is 37th in adjusted defensive efficiency, ranking in the top 40 in 2-point field goal percentage and effective goal percentage defense. However, it may struggle on the glass, as it ranks 194th in offensive rebounding percentage and 130th in defensive rebounding percentage.
Texas A&M won the rebounding battle 41-31 in the first meeting.
Texas A&M vs. Texas Betting Analysis
Texas controlled this rivalry in the final years of both programs being in the Big 12. However, the Aggies have won two of the last three meetings, including an 80-60 victory in College Station three weeks ago.
The Longhorns are coming off a home upset on Wednesday, but it was just their second win in conference play. They're just 4-6 against high-major opponents this season, averaging 66.8 points per game in those outings.
Texas A&M already has on-campus road wins at Oklahoma and Ole Miss, as well as beating Purdue in Indianapolis.
Defense and rebounding are traits that tend to travel well, so I expect the Aggies to ride that to a victory over their in-state rival.
