We've got several major conference showdowns on Tuesday night.
First, we head to the Big 12 where No. 1 Baylor looks to extend its 22-game winning streak on the road against Oklahoma. Next, we take a look at one of the hottest teams in the SEC when the Ole Miss Rebels travel to Missouri to take on the Tigers.
Let's see which teams are most attractive from a wagering perspective.
Tuesday College Odds & Picks
Odds as of Tuesday morning and via DraftKings, where Action Network users get a risk-free bet up to $500.
Oklahoma vs. No. 1 Baylor
- Spread: Baylor -3.5
- Over/Under: 134
- Time: 9 p.m. ET
- TV: ESPN2
Oklahoma (16-9) is tied with West Virginia for fourth place in the Big 12, and is coming off an 87-70 loss at Kansas. The Sooners have become synonymous with mediocrity, having failed to win three consecutive games in conference play since the 2015-2016 season. They are 11-14 against the spread, including just 4-3 in their last seven home games.
Baylor (23-1) has enjoyed a dream season, sitting atop the Big 12 standings with a perfect 12-0 mark in conference. The Bears have won 22 games in a row, including a perfect 6-0 in Big 12 road games. They are 16-8 ATS and 5-1 ATS on the road in conference.
The Sooners have been competitive in most games, but lack the level of defensive pressure to disrupt Baylor. They rank last in conference play in defensive turnovers, and combine that with poor rebounding prowess. Oklahoma ranks last in offensive rebounding in Big 12 play, and just 319th nationally.
That will be a tough combination against a Baylor team that is third-best in offensive turnovers and third-best in offensive rebounding among conference opponents.
The Bears earned a comfortable 70-59 home win over West Virginia last Saturday, without their second-leading scorer MaCio Teague (14.4 ppg, 5.0 rpg). The 6-foot-3 junior missed suffered a wrist injury, but is a game-time decision tonight. If Teague plays, this line will likely increase at least a half point.
In their first matchup this year, Baylor earned a 61-57 victory that was not as close as the score indicated. The Sooners only had one player in double-figures (Brady Manek, 21 points), and were outrebounded 46-36.
Oklahoma has struggled to find a third-scorer behind Manek (15.6 ppg) and senior Kristian Doolittle (15.5 ppg), with transfer Austin Reeves (26% 3P) struggling mightily from beyond the arc.
This line is an overreaction to the Sooners four-point loss margin on the road, and they'll now have to face a fully-healthy Baylor team that has won every game since by six points or more.
While the public support for top teams like Baylor and San Diego State still isn't strong, I'm giving the small number with the Bears against Oklahoma.
The Pick: Baylor -3.5
Missouri vs. Mississippi
- Spread: Missouri -1
- Over/Under: 132
- Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
- TV: SECN
Missouri (12-13) is tied for 10th place in the SEC with Mississippi and Arkansas. The Tigers are just 2-3 in their past five games, but have won three straight home games. They are 12-13 ATS including just 3-3 in their last six home contests.
Mississippi (13-12) is playing their best basketball of the year, having won three of their last four games including a close 67-62 loss at Kentucky. The Rebels have been winning comfortably, with an average margin of victory of 18.8 points in those three wins. They are 13-11-1 ATS but have covered their last seven games.
Ole Miss head coach Kermit Davis has done a masterful job turning around what appeared to be a lost season for the Rebels. They started SEC play with five straight losses, and were allowing 70-plus points on a regular basis. Mississippi has held each of their last four conference foes at 70 points or fewer, including two below 60 points.
The Rebels have greatly improved their 3P defensive efficiency, allowing their opponents to shoot just 26.7% from beyond the arc in SEC play.
Mississippi guard Breein Tyree (19.9 ppg) has been sensational, averaging 30 ppg in his past four contests. Teammate Devontae Shuler (11.6 ppg, 4.6 rpg, 3.6 apg) has been scalding hot from beyond the arc shooting 58% (15 of 26) from 3P in those same four games.
Missouri will enter this game shorthanded and without the services of guard Mark Smith (10.9 ppg) and 6-foot-10 forward Jeremiah Tilmon (8.5 ppg, 1.7 bpg). This leaves the majority of the Tigers scoring load to guards Dru Smith (12.3 ppg) and Xavier Pinson (9.4 ppg).
This duo just combined for 56 points in Missouri's 85-74 upset of Auburn, but the Tigers shot a blistering 54% from beyond the arc. The Rebels strong 3P defense will make a repeat performance unlikely.
I'm staying with a hot Ole Miss team against a Missouri Tigers group primed for a letdown after the big Auburn upset. Grab the point with Kermit and his Rebels in Columbia.
The Pick: Ole Miss +1
