The 2021 NCAA Tournament continues Sunday, March 28, with four more Sweet 16 games.
On Saturday, Oregon State shocked Loyola-Chicago, Baylor handled Villanova in the second half, Arkansas survived a buzzer-beater against Oral Roberts, and Houston took care of business against Syracuse.
Here's an updated 2021 NCAA Tournament bracket, schedule for this Sunday and national title odds entering the Sweet 16.
2021 NCAA Tournament Bracket
NCAA Tournament Schedule
Saturday, March 27
All times ET.
Underdog | Favorite | Time | TV |
---|---|---|---|
Oregon State | Loyola | 2:40 pm | CBS |
Villanova | Baylor | 5:15 pm | CBS |
Oral Roberts | Arkansas | 7:25 pm | TBS |
Syracuse | Houston | 9:55 pm | TBS |
Sunday, March 28
Underdog | Favorite | Time | TV |
---|---|---|---|
Creighton | Gonzaga | 2:10 pm | CBS |
Florida State | Michigan | 5 pm | CBS |
UCLA | Alabama | 7:15 pm | TBS |
Oregon | USC | 9:45 pm | TBS |
NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 Odds
Saturday, March 27
Underdog | Favorite | Spread | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Villanova | Baylor | -6.5 | 140 |
Oregon State | Loyola | -7 | 127 |
Oral Roberts | Arkansas | -10.5 | 159.5 |
Syracuse | Houston | -6 | 140 |
Sunday, March 28
Underdog | Favorite | Spread | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Creighton | Gonzaga | -13.5 | 158.5 |
Florida State | Michigan | -3 | 145 |
UCLA | Alabama | -5.5 | 142.5 |
Oregon | USC | -1.5 | 140 |
NCAA Tournament Title Odds & Probabilities
Team | Odds |
---|---|
Gonzaga | +155 |
Baylor | +350 |
Michigan | +750 |
Houston | +900 |
Alabama | +1100 |
Loyola-Chicago | +1300 |
Florida State | +1500 |
Arkansas | +2000 |
USC | +2500 |
Oregon | +3300 |
Villanova | +3300 |
Creighton | +4000 |
UCLA | +4000 |
Oregon State | +5000 |
Syracuse | +6000 |
Oral Roberts | +10000 |
The top of the NCAA Tournament odds board has mostly remained the same through two rounds, since teams like Gonzaga, Michigan and Baylor were expected to reach this point — that was already baked into the price.
The Zags have about a 40% chance to win the national title based on these odds, even though they've looked unstoppable through two games. Winning four games against the best teams in the country, from a probabilistic sense, is never going to be easy.
Unbeaten 2015 Kentucky, which ultimately lost in the Elite Eight to Wisconsin, entered the NCAA Tournament at about even money. So the betting market saw them as slightly better than this undefeated Gonzaga team.
At the bottom of the board, there has been some significant movement. Oral Roberts is down to 100-1, still the longest shot given that the Eagles are a 10-point underdog this weekend, and will be a double-digit underdog again the rest of the way if they can pull off another upset.
Using moneylines and converting them to probabilities, we know that Oral Roberts' chances are actually more like 400-1 to 500-1 to win it all, not 100-1.
Loyola-Chicago has made one of the biggest jumps, because it pulled off probably the most significant upset of the weekend, in terms of bracket-busting potential. The Ramblers knocked off top-seeded Illinois and went from about 40-1 to 13-1, making them the sixth-favorite despite their No. 8 seed.
Scores & Results So Far
First Round
Winner | Loser | Score |
---|---|---|
(7) Florida | (10) Virginia Tech | 75-70 |
(3) Arkansas | (14) Colgate | 85-68 |
(1) Illinois | (16) Drexel | 78-49 |
(6) Texas Tech | (11) Utah State | 65-53 |
(15) Oral Roberts | (2) Ohio State | 75-72 (OT) |
(1) Baylor | (16) Hartford | 79-55 |
(8) Loyola Chicago | (9) Georgia Tech | 71-60 |
(12) Oregon State | (5) Tennessee | 70-56 |
(4) Oklahoma State | (13) Liberty | 69-60 |
(9) Wisconsin | (8) North Carolina | 85-62 |
(2) Houston | (15) Cleveland State | 87-56 |
(13) North Texas | (4) Purdue | 78-69 (OT) |
(10) Rutgers | (7) Clemson | 60-56 |
(11) Syracuse | (6) San Diego State | 78-62 |
(3) West Virginia | (14) Morehead State | 84-67 |
(5) Villanova | (12) Winthrop | 73-63 |
(5) Colorado | (12) Georgetown | 96-73 |
(4) Florida State | (13) UNC Greensboro | 64-54 |
(3) Kansas | (14) Eastern Washington | 93-84 |
(8) LSU | (9) St. Bonaventure | 76-61 |
(1) Michigan | (16) Texas Southern | 82-66 |
(5) Creighton | (12) UC Santa Barbara | 63-62 |
(2) Alabama | (15) Iona | 68-55 |
(6) USC | (11) Drake | 72-56 |
(2) Iowa | (15) Grand Canyon | 86-74 |
(10) Maryland | (7) UConn | 63-54 |
(13) Ohio | (4) Virginia | 62-58 |
(8) Oklahoma | (9) Missouri | 72-68 |
(1) Gonzaga | (16) Norfolk State | 98-55 |
The first round of the NCAA Tournament brought us a bevy of upsets, including Oral Roberts over Ohio State, Ohio over Virginia, North Texas over Purdue and Oregon State over Tennessee.
Those were the games with point spreads of at least six points — No. 10 seed Rutgers topping No. 7 seed Clemson doesn't count as an upset in our eyes because the Scarlet Knights were actually favored.
Second Round
Winner | Loser | Score |
---|---|---|
(8) Loyola Chicago | (1) Illinois | 71-58 |
(1) Baylor | (9) Wisconsin | 76-63 |
(11) Syracuse | (3) West Virginia | 75-72 |
(3) Arkansas | (6) Texas Tech | 68-66 |
(2) Houston | (10) Rutgers | 63-60 |
(15) Oral Roberts | (7) Florida | 81-78 |
(5) Villanova | (13) North Texas | 84-61 |
(12) Oregon State | (4) Oklahoma State | 80-70 |
Winner | Loser | Score |
---|---|---|
(7) Oregon | (2) Iowa | 95-80 |
(1) Gonzaga | (8) Oklahoma | 87-71 |
(11) UCLA | (14) Abilene Christian | 67-47 |
(5) Creighton | (13) Ohio | 72-58 |
(1) Michigan | (8) LSU | 86-78 |
(4) Florida State | (5) Colorado | 71-53 |
(2) Alabama | (10) Maryland | 96-77 |
(6) USC | (3) Kansas | 85-51 |
The second round also featured a handful of thrillers and upsets, with USC smacking Kansas, Oral Roberts again pulling off a big win (this time over Florida), and Oregon taking it to Iowa.
Oregon State continue its magical March run with a win over Oklahoma State and likely No. 1 NBA Draft pick Cade Cunningham.
Houston fended off Rutgers with a furious comeback in the final few minutes, Michigan and LSU went toe to toe for much of Monday night and Arkansas survived another great game against Texas Tech.