For the latest updated odds and predictions to win the 2024 NCAA Tournament and make the Final Four, plus best bets, head over to 2024 March Madness: Updated Odds & Predictions to Win NCAA Tournament, Make Final Four.
Believe it or not, we're technically already halfway through March Madness, as the First Round is complete (and that's 32 games down out of 63 games in the tournament). Now, we turn our attention to the 2024 March Madness Second Round — and the updated odds to win the NCAA Tournament and odds to make the Final Four.
In addition to those posted 2024 March Madness futures via FanDuel Sportsbook below, we have also shared the projected odds to win the tournament and make the Final Four courtesy of our director of predictive analytics, Sean Koerner.
We've highlighted any NCAA Tournament odds that are better value than our expert predictions in green below. Heading into the Round of 32 on Saturday, four teams are showing value as best bets to win the tournament: Houston, Tennessee, Duke and Illinois. Those same four teams plus one other (Alabama) are also worth a consideration as best bets to make the Final Four ahead of the Second Round.
Here are the latest March Madness odds and March Madness predictions before the second round.
Updated Odds to Win 2024 NCAA Tournament
| Team | Odds to Win Tournament | Koerner's Projected Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Connecticut | +280 | +385 |
| Houston | +550 | +416 |
| Purdue | +650 | +895 |
| Arizona | +1000 | +1672 |
| Tennessee | +1200 | +1029 |
| Iowa St. | +1500 | +2142 |
| North Carolina | +2000 | +2364 |
| Creighton | +2000 | +4321 |
| Marquette | +2000 | +2519 |
| Duke | +2700 | +1602 |
| Baylor | +3000 | +4011 |
| Illinois | +3000 | +2561 |
| Gonzaga | +3000 | +6089 |
| Alabama | +3200 | +3323 |
| San Diego St. | +4700 | +11591 |
| Colorado | +5000 | +21072 |
| Michigan St. | +5000 | +15682 |
| Oregon | +10000 | +146156 |
| Texas A&M | +10000 | +99003 |
| Kansas | +10000 | +28228 |
| Clemson | +12000 | +30271 |
| Texas | +12000 | +24882 |
| N.C. State | +12000 | +106406 |
| James Madison | +15000 | +287769 |
| Washington St. | +20000 | +70687 |
| Northwestern | +20000 | +121730 |
| Dayton | +20000 | +70700 |
| GCU | +24000 | +160178 |
| Utah St. | +29000 | +159351 |
| Duquesne | +49000 | +2776994 |
| Yale | +60000 | +1674100 |
| Oakland | +100000 | +11665559 |
Of the four teams showing relative value to win the NCAA Tournament as of late Friday night, the Duke Blue Devils stand out above the pack. Not only is Duke still a healthy longshot at +2700, if you're into that kind of thing, but our expert predictions have fair value on the Blue Devils at closer to +1600.
At shorter odds, we predicted Houston to win it all before the Tournament started, and according to our projections, you're still getting good value on the Cougars before the Second Round.
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Updated Odds to Make 2024 Final Four
| Team | Odds to Make Final Four | Koerner's Projected Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Connecticut | -155 | -101 |
| Houston | +125 | +115 |
| Purdue | +160 | +192 |
| Arizona | +195 | +273 |
| Tennessee | +290 | +232 |
| Marquette | +330 | +405 |
| Iowa St. | +360 | +427 |
| North Carolina | +360 | +381 |
| Duke | +440 | +341 |
| Creighton | +500 | +626 |
| Baylor | +500 | +529 |
| Alabama | +500 | +469 |
| Gonzaga | +600 | +834 |
| Illinois | +650 | +438 |
| Michigan St. | +850 | +1424 |
| Colorado | +950 | +1704 |
| San Diego St. | +1000 | +1188 |
| N.C. State | +1100 | +3531 |
| Clemson | +1200 | +2055 |
| Kansas | +1600 | +2347 |
| Texas | +1600 | +2284 |
| Texas A&M | +1800 | +6021 |
| Oregon | +2200 | +6463 |
| Dayton | +2400 | +3501 |
| GCU | +2400 | +5596 |
| Washington St. | +2900 | +4550 |
| Northwestern | +3100 | +6278 |
| James Madison | +3200 | +11018 |
| Utah St. | +4200 | +7055 |
| Yale | +8000 | +27098 |
| Duquesne | +10000 | +38910 |
| Oakland | +12000 | +59378 |
With the March Madness field cut in half after the First Round, we're already starting to see some pretty short odds on the top seeds to make the Final Four, with UConn an odds-on favorite to advance to Phoenix. We're showing significantly more value on Houston (yet again) to make the Final Four when it comes to the 1 seeds, however.
As mentioned above, beyond the same four teams that had value to win the NCAA Tournament, we're also projecting that the market is undervaluing Alabama to make the Final Four. And as always, shop around as best you can before placing your NCAA Tournament futures bets or any other bets, and compare our expert projections to the best lines you can find. Best of luck over the weekend.
Are you in North Carolina? North Carolina sports betting came online on March 11, so you can bet legally at major sportsbooks today. Learn more.
