The Virginia Cavaliers take on the Pitt Panthers in Pittsburgh, PA. Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET on ESPN.
Pitt is favored by 12 points on the spread with a moneyline of -800. The total is set at 133.5 points.
Here are my Virginia vs. Pitt predictions and college basketball picks for February 3, 2025.
Virginia vs Pitt Prediction
My Pick: Pitt -12 (Play to -13)
My Virginia vs Pitt best bet is on the Panthers spread, with the best odds currently available at Caesars. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Virginia vs Pitt Odds
| Virginia Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+12 -105 | 133.5 -108 / -112 | +550 |
| Pitt Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-12 -115 | 133.5 -108 / -112 | -800 |
- Virginia vs Pitt spread: Pitt -12
- Virginia vs Pitt over/under: 133.5 points
- Virginia vs Pitt moneyline: Pitt -800, Virginia +550
- Virginia vs Pitt best bet: Pitt -12 (Play to -13)
Spread
I have the Panthers on the spread up to -13.
Moneyline
There's zero value on the moneyline.
Over/Under
I have no play on the total.
My Pick: Pitt -12 (Play to -13)
Virginia vs Pitt College Basketball Betting Preview
The ACC has clearly had a down season. UNC already has 10 losses, big brands like Florida State, Notre Dame, Syracuse, Miami and Virginia have been terrible and Louisville lost two key pieces to season-ending injuries.
It's not even clear who the second-best team in the conference is, although it's looking more and more like Clemson.
Why I bring that up is because Pitt is currently sitting on the bubble. On Bracket Matrix, Pitt is considered an 11-seed in the NCAA Tournament while ESPN's Bracketology has the Panthers as one of the last four byes.
That means the Panthers can ill afford to flirt with disaster in a conference that has plenty of opportunities to burn a resume.
This is one of those opportunities, as Virginia sits 132nd on KenPom and in 15th place in the ACC.
So, even though Pitt has a huge bubble game vs. North Carolina on Saturday, it can't look ahead at this point in the season.
Another reason I like the Panthers is they have a huge coaching advantage with Jeff Capel over Ron Sanchez.
The former Charlotte coach, Sanchez, was thrown into the fire after Tony Bennett's sudden retirement right before the season — thus, the Cavs haven't produced their regular defensive results (127th in KenPom's defensive efficiency metric).
Virginia still plays slow (third-to-last nationally in adjusted tempo), but that hasn't deterred the team from its fair share of blowouts (15-point loss to Notre Dame, 23-point loss to Stanford, 14-point loss to Louisville, 14-point loss to Cal).
Pitt's experienced backcourt of Ishmael Leggett and Jaland Lowe has a huge advantage in this game, and it also helps us that Virginia is 284th in Haslametrics' away-from-home metric.
Give me the Panthers.
