The Wichita State Shockers take on the North Texas Mean Green in Denton, Texas. Tip-off is set for 9 p.m. ET on ESPN2.
North Texas is favored by 6.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -310. The total is set at 127.5 points.
Here are my Wichita State vs. North Texas predictions and college basketball picks for March 3, 2025.
Wichita State vs North Texas Prediction
My Pick: Under 127.5 (Play to 126)
My Wichita State vs North Texas best bet is on both teams to go under the total, with the best odds currently available at BetRivers. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Wichita State vs North Texas Odds
| Wichita State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+6.5 -105 | 127.5 -112o / -108u | +250 |
| North Texas Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-6.5 -115 | 127.5 -112o / -108u | -310 |
- Wichita State vs North Texas spread: North Texas -6.5 (-115), Wichita State +6.5 (-105)
- Wichita State vs North Texas over/under: 127.5 (-112o / -108u)
- Wichita State vs North Texas moneyline: Wichita State +250, North Texas -310
- Wichita State vs North Texas best bet: Under 127.5 (Play to 126)
Spread
I don't have a bet on the spread in this game.
Moneyline
Like the spread, I'm staying away from the moneyline in this matchup.
Over/Under
My best bet for this game is on the under. North Texas will slow the pace down here, and Wichita State has no problem playing at the speed of its opponent.
My Pick: Under 127.5 (Play to 126)
North Texas vs Wichita State Betting Trends
Wichita State vs North Texas College Basketball Betting Preview
The first meeting between these two American foes was an easy under.
North Texas completely controlled the pace in a 58-54 victory, holding the game to just 58 possessions. That remains the slowest game Wichita State has played this season by a wide margin.
With North Texas now at home, I expect that dominance over the tempo to continue. The last four North Texas home games have featured 62, 56, 59 and 61 possessions, respectively. Clearly, the Mean Green want to play in the half-court, and they know how to dictate the game to that effect.
Efficiency also lagged in the first matchup. Both teams shot below 45% from 2-point range, struggling mightily to find easy buckets inside.
The Shockers’ Quincy Ballard swatted six shots to keep them in it, while UNT’s scheme forced a bevy of challenging Wichita State jumpers. And the Shockers can’t shoot, especially from deep (29.9% this season from beyond the arc, 341st nationally).
From a number perspective, the total in the first game closed at 134. Obviously, this total is significantly lower, but I think it’s justified.
The Shockers have proven to be a “pace taker,” seemingly content to play at the speed of their foes. And North Texas will certainly keep the game in a half-court grind.
Six of the last eight UNT games have gone under, and nine of the last 12 Wichita contests have done the same.
