Cardinals vs. Commanders Odds & Betting Predictions - September 10, 2023

Cardinals at Commanders

5:00 pm • FOX

Arizona Cardinals

7-7

16 - 20

Washington Commanders

9-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cardinals 7-7	+7-106	o38-110	+250
Commanders 9-5	-7-113	u38-110	-310

Sunday 5:00 p.m.

September 10, 2023

Northwest StadiumLandover

J.Conner Anytime TD Scorer+175

0.5u

WAS -7-105

2.1u

ARI +7-110

0.91u

B.Baker o5.5 Tackles + Ast-105

WAS -7-110

Under 38.5-110

0.5u

J.Slye u7.5 Kicking Pts-125

1.25u

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S.Howell o4.5 Rush Att-120

1.2u

Bieniemy is installing an RPO based offense, similar to what Howell ran in college. We saw Howell use his legs in his lone start last season (5 carries), but now I’m expecting 2-3 designed runs on top. Throw in sneaks and kneel down potential - I have Howell closer to 6 totes.

B.Baker o5.5 Tackles + Ast-115

1.15u

Budda lead this Cardinals team in tackles last season with 111 in just 15 games - over in 10/15 (one loss was due to a late injury). Playmaker both versus the run and in coverage. He won’t come off the field. He also loves starting the season strong. Dating back to his second season, his week 1 tackle totals have been: 13, 8, 15, 8, 11. Plus, Arizona’s offense is going to be even worse this season, with little reason to think they can sustain drives. I expect the Cards defense to be on the field a bunch. And Washington ranked 1st in opponent tackles per game last season as is. New coaching staff, but I do expect baker to be deployed similarly (splitting most of his snaps between free safety and in the box).

ARI +7-105

0.48u

Gross, but just too many points when we know nothing about either QB, esp with such a low total. Teams that won 4-6 games as Wk 1 dogs 68% ATS. Wk1 road dogs that missed playoffs 64%.

WAS -7-110

$1.00

B.Robinson o58.5 Rush Yds-114

0.88u

J.Dobbs u208.5 Pass Yds-114

ARI +6-110

0.91u

It’s gross, but as @SimonHunterNFL and I discussed on @TheFavoritesPodcast, it must be done. FD quickslip https://account.sportsbook.fanduel.com/sportsbook/addToBetslip?marketId[0]=42.380305751&selectionId[0]=50209&shareBetId=10023_-443033149

Featured Insight
The Commanders threw for 1,932 passing yards in 9 games at home (214.7 YPG) last season -- seventh-worst in NFL. The Cardinals allowed 180.8 passing yards per game on the road last season -- second-best in NFL.

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Featured Insight
The Cardinals threw for 5.9 yards per attempt out of the shotgun last season -- second-worst in NFL. The Commanders allowed 6.2 yards per dropback against the shotgun last season -- tied for 10th-best in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Commanders are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Commanders are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Commanders are 3-3 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Commanders' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Commanders' 7 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Commanders	8-5-1	5-2	3-3-1	6-3	2-2-1
Cardinals	9-5	5-3	4-2	2-3	6-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Commanders	9-5	4-3	5-2	5-4	4-1
Cardinals	6-7-1	4-4	2-3-1	3-2	2-5-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Commanders	9-5	N/A	N/A	7-2	2-3
Cardinals	7-7	N/A	N/A	2-3	4-4

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 26th	CIN	W 21-19	-3 L	O 34.5	WAS -164
Aug 22nd	BAL	W 29-28	+1 W	O 37.5	WAS +105
Aug 11th	@CLE	W 17-15	+2.5 W	U 37	WAS +124
Jan 8th	DAL	W 26-6	+7.5 W	U 41	WAS +265
Jan 1st	CLE	L 10-24	-1.5 L	U 41.5	CLE -120

Tyler Ott
LS
Ott is questionable with illness
Questionable
Jamison Crowder
WR
Crowder is questionable with calf
Questionable
Cornelius Lucas
T
Lucas is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Nick Bellore
LB
Bellore is questionable with knee
Questionable

Jonathan Allen
DT
Allen is out with pectoral
Out
Noah Brown
WR
Brown is out with knee
Out
Austin Ekeler
RB
Ekeler is out with concussion
Out
Greg Joseph
K
Joseph is out with abdomen
Out
Austin Seibert
K
Seibert is out with hip
Out
Jeremy Chinn
S
Chinn is questionable with concussion
Questionable
Colson Yankoff
TE
Yankoff is out with hamstring
Out

Matt Prater
K
Prater is out with knee
Out
Evan Brown
OL
Brown is questionable with neck
Questionable
Sean Murphy-Bunting
CB
Murphy-Bunting is questionable with hand
Questionable
Jalen Thompson
S
Thompson is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Jonah Williams
OL
Williams is questionable with illness
Questionable
Mack Wilson
LB
Wilson is out with concussion
Out
DeeJay Dallas
RB
Dallas is questionable with illness
Questionable
Blake Gillikin
P
Gillikin is out with foot
Out
Roy Lopez
DE
Lopez is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Naquan Jones
DT
Jones is questionable with elbow
Questionable
Jesse Luketa
OLB
Luketa is out with thigh
Out
Paris Johnson
OL
Johnson is out with knee
Out
Jammie Robinson
S
Robinson is doubtful with knee
Doubtful
Dante Stills
DE
Stills is questionable with back
Questionable
Emari Demercado
RB
Demercado is out with back
Out
Trey Benson
RB
Benson is out with ankle
Out
Elijah Jones
DB
Jones is out with ankle
Out
Xavier Thomas
DE
Thomas is questionable with back
Questionable

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Cardinals

Total

Commanders

210

Total Yards

248

Total Plays

3.6

Yards Per Play

3.8

Cardinals

Passing

Commanders

132

YDS

202

21/30

Comps/Atts

19/31

3.455

YPA

4.216

0/0

TDs/INTs

1/1

3/18

Sacks/Yards

6/46

Cardinals

Rushing

Commanders

Rush Yards

Attempts

3.84

YPC

3.286

TDs

Cardinals

Turnovers

Commanders

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Cardinals

Efficiency

Commanders

0/2 0%

Redzone

2/5 40%

4/14 0%

3rd Down

4/12 0%

0/1 0%

4th Down

0/0 0%

Cardinals

First Downs

Commanders

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Cardinals

Misc

Commanders

9/122

Penalties/Yards

8/70

28:36

Possession

31:24

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MatchupOverUnder
Cardinals 7-7	o14.5-115	u14.5-118
Commanders 9-5	o22.5-127	u22.5-104

Cardinals vs. Commanders Odds & Betting Predictions - September 10, 2023

Cardinals at Commanders

Arizona Cardinals

Washington Commanders

Cardinals at Commanders Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

PRO Insights

Cardinals

Commanders

Cardinals vs. Commanders Previews & Analysis

3 Over/Unders Backed by Big Money, Projections

Cardinals vs. Commanders: Intriguing Gibson Prop To Bet

Action's NFL Betting Primer: Every Trend to Know for Week 1 (Sunday Update)

The 60% ATS System for NFL Week 1

Cardinals vs. Commanders Props

Prop Projections

Prop Odds Comparison

Line Movement Tracker

Cardinals vs. Commanders Public Betting Percentages

Cardinals

Public

Commanders

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Commanders vs. Cardinals Injury Updates

Commanders Injuries

Cardinals Injuries

Cardinals vs. Commanders Odds Comparison

Cardinals at Commanders Team Totals