Cowboys vs. Giants Odds & Betting Predictions - September 27, 2024

Cowboys at Giants

12:15 am • Amazon Prime Video

Dallas Cowboys

7-10

20 - 15

New York Giants

3-14

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cowboys 7-10	-4.5	-6-109	o45-111	-258
Giants 3-14	u44.5	+6-111	u45-108	+210

Friday 12:15 a.m.

September 27, 2024

MetLife StadiumEast Rutherford

Under 22.5 (2H)-110

D.Jones o266.5 Pass Yds (Live)-114

0.88u

W.Robinson o65.5 Rec Yds (Live)-115

0.87u

B.Cooks u31.5 Rec Yds (Live)-110

0.91u

W.Robinson Anytime TD Scorer Yes (Live)+650

0.5u

D.Prescott u31.5 Pass Att (Live)-110

0.91u

D.Singletary o45.5 Rush Yds (Live)+105

C.Lamb Anytime TD Scorer Yes (Live)-105

0.95u

Under 44.5-110

0.91u

J.Ferguson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+220

DAL -4.5-118

0.85u

J.Ferguson o42 Rec Yds-117

0.85u

T.Tracy o5.5 Rec Yds-120

0.5u

C.Lamb o80.5 Rec Yds-110

0.91u

Not overthinking this one

B.Aubrey o1.5 FGs Made-152

1.84u

DAL o23.5 Team Total-142

1.25u

C.Lamb o25.5 Longest Reception+131

1.97u

50% boost

J.Ferguson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+235

0.5u

W.Robinson o33.5 Rec Yds-120

C.Lamb o78.5 Rec Yds-120

D.Singletary Anytime TD Scorer Yes+110

0.5u

W.Robinson o34.5 Rush + Rec Yds-110

NYG +5.5-105

1.9u

B.Aubrey o1.5 FGs Made-140

0.71u

Under 44.5-109

0.92u

C.Lamb o0.5 Rush Yds-110

D.Prescott o23.5 Pass Comp-112

The volume of plays isn’t always easy to predict, but the Cowboys have very consistently found themselves with healthy totals. Since they have very little run game to speak of , we should expect them to throw at a rate more than expectation. Our projections for plays tonight are high for Dallas and if we’re right… this mark of 22.5 is a little too low.

J.Ferguson o41.5 Rec Yds-115

0.87u

M.Nabers o6.5 Recs+107

1.07u

Can’t say that I’m sure all these receptions will be explosive, but they really have been force feeding him the rock. In a game where I expect NYG to have to look to the air, they’ll feed their best offensive weapon by design early and by necessity late.

D.Singletary u60.5 Rush Yds+100

FanDuel has it at 61.5 now, and we got it at 62.5 over on RotoGrinders earlier. Prop Model likes the under and I expect the game script to be one of the reasons. Dallas has really not been impressive on defense but that has not been true against the run (per DVOA). Also, there is nothing like a game against Daniel Jones to help get the pass defense back on track. Looking for Dallas to be the boss tonight and force the Giants away from a high volume of rush attempts.

NYG +5.5-110

0.91u

D.Prescott o9.5 Rush Yds-110

Game Script

Under 45-111

Under 22.5 (1H)-107

1.07u

DAL -5-110

2.2u

W.Robinson o35.5 Rec Yds-112

0.45u

G.Joseph u1.5 Extra Points Made+130

1.3u

@nick_giffen

Under 45.5-111

0.9u

@The_Oddsmaker

E.Elliott u27.5 Rush Yds-120

0.83u

@The_Oddsmaker

C.Lamb 90+ Receiving Yards Yes+122

1.22u

Via Brian Matthews

T.Johnson 25+ Receiving Yards Yes+205

@charliedisturco

J.Ferguson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+240

Via Brian Matthews and @GDAWG5000

J.Tolbert u2.5 Recs-120

0.5u

@The_Oddsmaker

C.Lamb o79.5 Rec Yds-115

0.87u

@charliedisturco

DAL -2.5 (1H)-122

0.41u

FRREE PLAY FOR TODAY!

D.Jones o6.5 Rush Att+115

Full write-up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/daniel-jones-player-prop-prediction-for-cowboys-vs-giants-on-thursday-night-football

E.Elliott u27.5 Rush Yds-115

G.Joseph u1.5 Extra Points Made+130

1.3u

@GreenDotDaily

DAL -5-115

Dallas has won 5 straight against the giants. Cowboys have covered the spread 4 of the last 5 meetings. Jones is 0-12 on non Sunday games.

D.Singletary u62.5 Rush Yds-110

R.Dowdle o9.5 Rush Att-125

J.Ferguson Anytime TD Scorer+240

J.Ferguson o40.5 Rec Yds-110

W.Robinson o33.5 Rec Yds-110

Under 45.5-115

0.87u

R.Dowdle Anytime TD Scorer Yes+230

2.3u

Built using BetAlytics NFL TD dashboard! 🔑 RICO Dowdle ATD +230 (FanDuel) 1u 31.97% expected win probability (solid for a TD scorer). Love the value here now that Dowdle has officially emerged as RB1. He has taken more and more work from old man Zeke each week and now in a great matchup vs a bad rush D. I’m predicting a lot of points and the Dowdle breakout game. LFG BOL if you tail or fade! https://BetAlytics.com Promo code: LOCKSELOT for 25% off

DAL -5.5-113

1.13u

DAL -5-110

1.1u

J.Ferguson o39.5 Rec Yds-118

D.Jones o31.5 Rush Yds-110

1.1u

D.Jones o11.5 Longest Rush-105

1.05u

C.Lamb o0.5 Rush Yds-110

2.73u

All Free analysis & VIP Picks can be found in the MoneylineSharps Discord. Link Below⬇️ https://discord.com/invite/jD6fH7JKw6

E.Elliott u7.5 Rush Att-105

0.95u

All Free analysis & VIP Picks can be found in the MoneylineSharps Discord. Link Below⬇️ https://discord.com/invite/jD6fH7JKw6

Under 45-111

0.68u

DAL -5-110

0.5u

M.Nabers Anytime TD Scorer Yes+150

0.4u

Under 45.5-115

#LuckRankings under

DAL -5.5-112

Under 45.5-115

0.87u

#ProSystem … primetime unders home dog Overall: 97-57-3,63% (ROI:21%) Season:1-0-0,100% (ROI:93%) . under system Overall: 193-102-4,65% (ROI:25%) Season:8-5-1,62% (ROI:17%)

C.Lamb o80.5 Rec Yds-120

Sandy

DAL o13 Team Total (1H)-130

Sandy

R.Dowdle Anytime TD Scorer Yes+200

Tailing @mbiever

R.Dowdle o14.5 Rec Yds-112

Under 45.5-115

0.5u

Via @The_Oddsmaker

Under 45.5-110

DAL o13 Team Total (1H)-130

D.Prescott o1.5 Pass TDs-168

0.6u

Giants secondary isn’t very good plus they’re battling some injuries at that position. Expect a heavy pass game from Dallas

NYG u19.5 Team Total-110

1.02u

Avery

DAL o13.5 Team Total (1H)+115

Sura

DAL o25.5 Team Total-115

1.15u

Sura

J.Ferguson o39.5 Rec Yds-118

Sura

DAL -5.5-114

1.14u

Avery

D.Jones o31.5 Rush Yds-110

1.65u

M.Nabers u70.5 Rec Yds-115

1.15u

NYG u20.5 Team Total-130

DAL -5.5+104

0.5u

15% boost

D.Prescott o1.5 Pass TDs-135

0.74u

J.Tolbert o28.5 Rec Yds-115

DAL -6-105

1.05u

Johnny

NYG +6-110

2.73u

R.Dowdle o2.5 Recs+135

1.11u

R.Dowdle o14.5 Rec Yds-115

R.Dowdle Anytime TD Scorer Yes+185

2.78u

R.Dowdle First Touchdown Scorer Yes+1000

D.Jones o0.5 Int-125

D.Prescott u0.5 Int-105

W.Robinson o33.5 Rec Yds-120

1.5u

NYG u19.5 Team Total+101

2.02u

Under 45.5-110

0.91u

🔭🔭🔭

M.Nabers u72.5 Rec Yds-113

Dude aint doing shit

D.Prescott o1.5 Pass TDs-136

0.74u

R.Dowdle Anytime TD Scorer Yes+210

1.05u

R.Dowdle o13.5 Rec Yds-113

D.Prescott u263.5 Pass Yds-115

R.Dowdle u39.5 Rush Yds-113

1.13u

Under 45.5-110

DAL o25.5 Team Total-110

1.1u

DAL o13.5 Team Total (1H)+115

1.15u

W.Robinson o34.5 Rec Yds-110

0.91u

J.Ferguson o41.5 Rec Yds-115

0.87u

D.Jones Anytime TD Scorer Yes+310

W.Robinson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+460

0.5u

D.Jones o29.5 Rush Yds-110

1.1u

Huge divisional rival game on the line for both teams where QBs tend to rush more than normal. Jones is averaging 45.3 rushYds in his last three meetings vs. DAL including 40+ in two of the three. And just like others have done in the past, I expect coach Daboll to weaponize Daniel Jones using his legs against a clear weakness in the run defense where Lamar rushed for 87 yards and Watson rushed for 39 yards earlier. The Cowboys boast a formidable pass rush, spearheaded by Micah Parsons and Dexter Lawrence, which ranks first in QB Hurry% and Pressure% according to Pro Football Reference. If the offensive line doesn't hold up, Jones should have more opportunities to scramble and even some RPO plays to neutralize the pass rush. Furthermore, when he runs with the ball, he'll be facing a weak and undersized rush defense that opposing teams are countering with "big" personnel, resulting in last place ranks in stuff rate and yards after contact permitted (3.04), and 31st place in yards per carry before contact (2.90), according to Fantasy Points. And finally, we’re also quietly getting a discounted line. While the box score shows he only had 20 rushing yards in the last game against the Browns, it's worth noting that Myles Garrett suffered an in-game injury, lowering opposing pressure rate and Jones had two separate carries totaling 29 yards (5:59 Q1 & 11:34 Q4), but they were nullified due to a penalty. #PlayerProps

B.Cooks o36.5 Rec Yds-114

R.Dowdle o39.5 Rush Yds-110

0.91u

DAL -4.5-110

Model makes this -10.32 Dallas should have a bounce back game here. D. Jones terrible in prime time at home

C.Lamb o80.5 Rec Yds-120

J.Ferguson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+270

Bet on Sept 24.

C.Lamb o85.5 Rush + Rec Yds-115

R.Dowdle o10.5 Rec Yds-120

0.83u

R.Dowdle o51.5 Rush + Rec Yds-115

D.Prescott o7.5 Rush Yds-114

All Free analysis & VIP Picks can be found in the MoneylineSharps Discord. Link Below⬇️ https://discord.com/invite/jD6fH7JKw6

D.Singletary u2.5 Recs+128

1.28u

All Free analysis & VIP Picks can be found in the MoneylineSharps Discord. Link Below⬇️ https://discord.com/invite/jD6fH7JKw6

E.Elliott o1.5 Recs+125

All Free analysis & VIP Picks can be found in the MoneylineSharps Discord. Link Below⬇️ https://discord.com/invite/jD6fH7JKw6

C.Lamb o76.5 Rec Yds-114

0.5u

DAL -4.5-108

0.93u

First bet we discussed on @TheFavoritesPodcast on Sunday night. Also a bet @wheatonbrando liked in his early bets preview.

DAL -4.5-110

0.91u

DAL -4-110

0.91u

LOOKAHEAD!

DAL -4.5-105

1.43u

Week 4 Hot Read 🔥

Featured Insight
The Cowboys have run successful plays on 43.0% of rush attempts against a base front since the 2023 season -- T-8th-best in NFL; the Giants have allowed successful plays on 45.0% of rush attempts with a base front since the 2023 season -- T-3rd-worst in NFL.

TRY FOR FREE

Featured Insight
Giants RBs have averaged 2.7 yards after contact per carry this season -- 5th-best in NFL; the Cowboys have allowed 2.5 yards after contact per carry to RBs this season -- T-7th-worst in NFL.

TRY FOR FREE

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NFL Public Betting

Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Giants are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Giants are 2-5 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Giants' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Giants' 9 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Giants	5-12	3-6	2-5	0-1	5-11
Cowboys	7-10	3-6	4-4	1-2	6-8

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Giants	6-11	3-6	3-4	0-1	6-10
Cowboys	11-6	6-3	5-3	2-1	9-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Giants	3-14	N/A	N/A	0-1	3-13
Cowboys	7-10	N/A	N/A	2-1	5-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 22nd	@CLE	W 21-15	+6.5 W	U 38	NYG +225
Sep 15th	@WAS	L 18-21	+1.5 L	U 43	WAS +103
Sep 8th	MIN	L 6-28	+1 L	U 42	MIN -105
Aug 24th	@NYJ	L 6-10	-3 L	U 31.5	NYJ -166
Aug 17th	@HOU	L 10-28	+1.5 L	U 39.5	HOU +110

Jameis Winston
QB
Winston is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Graham Gano
K
Gano is questionable with hamstring
Questionable
Austin Schlottmann
OL
Schlottmann is questionable with knee
Questionable

Bobby Okereke
LB
Okereke is out with back
Out
Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles
LB
Flannigan-Fowles is doubtful with calf
Doubtful
Jon Runyan
G
Runyan is out with ankle
Out
Jevon Holland
S
Holland is questionable with wrist
Questionable
Victor Dimukeje
OLB
Dimukeje is questionable with eye
Questionable
Evan Neal
T
Neal is out with ribs
Out
Micah McFadden
LB
McFadden is out with neck
Out
D.J. Davidson
DE
Davidson is doubtful with shoulder
Doubtful
Raheem Layne
S
Layne is out with knee
Out
Deonte Banks
CB
Banks is questionable with ribs
Questionable
John Michael Schmitz
C
Schmitz is out with ankle
Out
Dyontae Johnson
LB
Johnson is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Theo Johnson
TE
Johnson is out with foot
Out

C.J. Goodwin
CB
Goodwin is questionable with hamstring
Questionable
Solomon Thomas
DE
Thomas is questionable with knee
Questionable
Donovan Wilson
S
Wilson is questionable with knee
Questionable
Kemon Hall
CB
Hall is out with hamstring
Out
Kenneth Murray
MLB
Murray is questionable with hamstring
Questionable
CeeDee Lamb
WR
Lamb is out with shoulder
Out
Trevon Diggs
CB
Diggs is out with knee
Out
Payton Turner
DE
Turner is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Buddy Johnson
LB
Johnson is questionable with illness
Questionable
Markquese Bell
S
Bell is out with shoulder
Out
Mazi Smith
DT
Smith is questionable with pelvis
Questionable
DeMarvion Overshown
LB
Overshown is out with knee
Out
Asim Richards
OL
Richards is questionable with ankle
Questionable
John Stephens
TE
Stephens is out with knee
Out

See more NFL Injuries

Cowboys

Total

Giants

293

Total Yards

303

Total Plays

5.7

Yards Per Play

4.7

Cowboys

Passing

Giants

221

YDS

281

22/27

Comps/Atts

29/40

7.607

YPA

6.756

2/0

TDs/INTs

0/1

1/8

Sacks/Yards

1/4

Cowboys

Rushing

Giants

Rush Yards

Attempts

3.478

YPC

1.083

TDs

Cowboys

Turnovers

Giants

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Cowboys

Efficiency

Giants

1/1 100%

Redzone

0/2 0%

3/10 0%

3rd Down

5/16 0%

1/1 0%

4th Down

3/4 0%

Cowboys

First Downs

Giants

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Cowboys

Misc

Giants

11/89

Penalties/Yards

4/35

24:23

Possession

35:37

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MatchupOverUnder
Cowboys 7-10	o25.5-111	u25.5-105
Giants 3-14	o19.5-115	u19.5-105

Cowboys vs. Giants Odds & Betting Predictions - September 27, 2024

Cowboys at Giants

Dallas Cowboys

New York Giants

Cowboys at Giants Odds

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Cowboys vs. Giants Previews & Analysis

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Cowboys vs. Giants Props

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Cowboys vs. Giants Public Betting Percentages

Cowboys

Public

Giants

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Giants vs. Cowboys Injury Updates

Giants Injuries

Cowboys Injuries

Cowboys vs. Giants Odds Comparison

Cowboys at Giants Team Totals