Falcons vs. Buccaneers Odds & Betting Predictions - October 22, 2023
Falcons at Buccaneers
5:00 pm • FOXFalcons at Buccaneers Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Falcons 6-3 | +2.5 | +3-118 | o37.5-110 | +124 |
Buccaneers 4-5 | u37.5 | -3-104 | u37.5-110 | -148 |
Sunday 5:00 p.m.
October 22, 2023Raymond James StadiumTampa
Falcons vs. Buccaneers Expert Picks
Raheem Palmer
380d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
ATL +130
1.3u
Geoff aka OldManWhoBets
380d ago
Last 30d: 23-27-0 (-2.8u)
TB -2.5-118
1u
DK
Kyle Murray
380d ago
Last 30d: 99-102-2 (-4.3u)
C.Otton u2.5 Recs-136
1u
ASA Inc
380d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
ATL +3-110
0.91u
Tanner McGrath
380d ago
Last 30d: 57-68-5 (-19.6u)
TB -150
1.5u
Capper Central
380d ago
Last 30d: 61-68-0 (-24.3u)
TB -2.5-118
$100.00
Shady Biev
380d ago
Last 30d: 210-217-4 (+18.7u)
TB -3-110
1.65u
The Touchdown Show
380d ago
Last 30d: 11-40-0 (+8.8u)
K.Hodge Anytime TD Scorer+1400
0.25u
@GDAWG5000
M.Pruitt Anytime TD Scorer+1900
0.25u
@GDAWG5000
Jeremiah Rose
380d ago
Last 30d: 36-41-0 (-1.2u)
TB -145
1.2u
The Faves Five
380d ago
Last 30d: 10-15-0 (-6.5u)
ATL +2.5-104
1u
Simon Hunter
380d ago
Last 30d: 25-29-1 (-7.8u)
ATL +2.5-104
0.96u
TB -1.5 (1H)-109
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
380d ago
Last 30d: 201-231-1 (-18.0u)
ATL +3-120
0.83u
Convince Me
380d ago
Last 30d: 30-28-1 (-1.9u)
TB -0.5 (1H)-109
1u
@SimonHunterNFL
Sean Zerillo
380d ago
Last 30d: 79-99-3 (-9.9u)
TB -2.5-115
0.58u
Sandy Plashkes
380d ago
Last 30d: 105-119-0 (-11.1u)
B.Robinson o25.5 Rec Yds-112
$56.00
Mjaybrod
380d ago
Last 30d: 113-127-0 (-4.6u)
Under 37.5-110
1.82u
Retirement home snooze fest
Prop Bet Guy
380d ago
Last 30d: 100-81-0 (+8.7u)
D.London o48.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
Full write up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-player-props-week-7-picks-drake-london-josh-downs?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=propbetguy
Gilles Gallant
381d ago
Last 30d: 49-100-1 (+3.8u)
K.Hodge Anytime TD Scorer+1400
0.25u
Bet at PointsBet. Down to +1200 everywhere else. I’m banking on a longshot TD scorer for Falcons this week. Hodge and Mycole Pruitt. Both playing out of slot and get short throws from Ridder. Perfect goalline candidates.
For full analysis, watch The Touchdown Show on Sunday at 11:30am ET on Action Network YT page.
M.Pruitt Anytime TD Scorer+1900
0.3u
Bet at DraftKings. Down to +1200 everywhere else. Has 7 TD since start of 2021 season. Pitts/Jonnu have 6 TD combined in same stretch.
For full analysis, watch The Touchdown Show on Sunday at 11:30am ET on Action Network YT page.
Sunday Six Pack
382d ago
Last 30d: 8-21-1 (-15.4u)
TB -2.5-110
1.1u
Raybon 2
The Favorites Podcast
382d ago
Last 30d: 6-13-1 (-8.3u)
ATL +2.5-110
1u
Big Balls Bet of the Week
Markus Markets
382d ago
Last 30d: 68-68-1 (+16.6u)
B.Robinson o3.5 Recs+120
1u
Matt Moore
382d ago
Last 30d: 75-90-2 (+1.3u)
TB -1.5 (1H)+100
1u
Milly Props
382d ago
Last 30d: 6-6-0 (+0.9u)
D.London o3.5 Recs-130
0.77u
Brandon Anderson
383d ago
Last 30d: 37-68-0 (-0.8u)
TB -1 (1H)-110
1u
Week 7 Best Bets pod!
Royals Props
384d ago
Last 30d: 59-41-0 (+13.5u)
R.White o70.5 Rush + Rec Yds-105
1u
Chris Raybon
384d ago
Last 30d: 18-18-1 (-2.3u)
TB -135
1u
Brian Edwards
384d ago
Last 30d: 30-17-0 (+11.3u)
TB -2.5-112
1u
Jim Sannes
385d ago
Last 30d: 13-31-0 (-6.2u)
TB -2.5-112
1u
Available at FanDuel. I think laying less than a field goal here is pretty attractive given the way the two teams match up. The Bucs' rush defense showed some life again Sunday, even if it was against a beaten-up Lions backfield. After adjusting for opponent, the Bucs are now allowing -0.06 Rushing EPA per attempt on early downs, according to numberFire's EPA model, a good chunk better than the league average of -0.01. The pass defense has been good on early downs, too -- they've just struggled to get off the field on late downs. Meanwhile, the Falcons' defense has gotten shredded through the air while stopping the rush effectively. With the Bucs' passing attack being healthy, I think they should be able to move the ball on this defense, and they should be able to hold the Falcons' rushing offense in check. I have the Bucs favored by more than a field goal, so I'll lay the 2.5.
PRO Insights
Falcons
ATL Insights
- Featured InsightThe Falcons have scored on 52% of their drives in late and close games since Week 17 of the 2022 Season -- fourth-best in NFL. The Buccaneers defense has allowed scores on 39% of opponent drives in close and late situations since Week 17 of the 2022 Season -- 10th-worst in NFL.
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Buccaneers
TB Insights
- Featured InsightThe Falcons have turned the ball over 10 times this season -- tied for sixth-most in NFL. The Buccaneers have forced 10 turnovers this season -- tied for eighth-most in NFL.
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Falcons vs. Buccaneers Previews & Analysis
Falcons vs. Buccaneers Props
Prop Projections
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Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Falcons vs. Buccaneers Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Buccaneers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Buccaneers are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Buccaneers are 3-1 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Buccaneers' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Buccaneers' 5 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Buccaneers | 5-4 | 2-3 | 3-1 | 2-1 | 3-3 |
Falcons | 5-4 | 2-4 | 3-0 | 4-3 | 1-1 |
Over/Under History
overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Buccaneers | 7-2 | 4-1 | 3-1 | 2-1 | 5-1 |
Falcons | 4-5 | 2-4 | 2-1 | 4-3 | 0-2 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Buccaneers | 4-5 | N/A | N/A | 2-1 | 2-4 |
Falcons | 6-3 | N/A | N/A | 5-2 | 1-1 |
Last 5 Matchups
Buccaneers vs. Falcons Injury Updates
Buccaneers Injuries
- Mike EvansWR
Evans is out with hamstring
Out
- Chris GodwinWR
Godwin is out with foot
Out
- Greg GainesDE
Gaines is out with calf
Out
- Evan DeckersLS
Deckers is out with hamstring
Out
- Jalen McMillanWR
McMillan is questionable with hamstring
Questionable
- Kameron JohnsonWR
Johnson is out with ankle
Out
Falcons Injuries
- Drew DalmanOL
Dalman is questionable with ankle
Questionable
- Drake LondonWR
London is questionable with hip
Questionable
- Troy AndersenLB
Andersen is out with knee
Out
- Ruke OrhorhoroDT
Orhorhoro is out with ankle
Out
- JD BertrandLB
Bertrand is out with concussion
Out
Team Stats
Falcons vs. Buccaneers Odds Comparison
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Falcons at Buccaneers Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Falcons 6-3 | o17.5+100 | u17.5-122 |
Buccaneers 4-5 | o20-109 | u20-112 |