Falcons vs. Buccaneers Odds & Betting Predictions - October 22, 2023

Falcons at Buccaneers

5:00 pm • FOX
16 - 13

Falcons at Buccaneers Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Falcons
6-5
+2.5
+3-118
o37.5-110
+124
Buccaneers
5-6
u37.5
-3-104
u37.5-110
-148
location pinSunday 5:00 p.m.
October 22, 2023
Raymond James StadiumTampa
Falcons vs. Buccaneers Expert Picks
Raheem Palmer
Raheem Palmer
400d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
ATL +130
1.3u
Geoff aka OldManWhoBets
Geoff aka OldManWhoBets
400d ago
Last 30d: 15-21-0 (-3.8u)
TB -2.5-118
1u
DK
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
400d ago
Last 30d: 102-113-1 (-6.6u)
C.Otton u2.5 Recs-136
1u
ASA Inc
400d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
ATL +3-110
0.91u
Tanner McGrath
Tanner McGrath
400d ago
Last 30d: 81-73-3 (+0.3u)
TB -150
1.5u
Capper Central
Capper Central
400d ago
Last 30d: 66-64-0 (-11.9u)
TB -2.5-118
$100.00
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
400d ago
Last 30d: 161-186-1 (-14.7u)
TB -3-110
1.65u
The Touchdown Show
The Touchdown Show
400d ago
Last 30d: 5-45-0 (-13.3u)
K.Hodge Anytime TD Scorer+1400
0.25u
@GDAWG5000
M.Pruitt Anytime TD Scorer+1900
0.25u
@GDAWG5000
Jeremiah Rose
Jeremiah Rose
400d ago
Last 30d: 48-39-2 (+9.1u)
TB -145
1.2u
The Faves Five
The Faves Five
400d ago
Last 30d: 12-13-0 (-2.4u)
ATL +2.5-104
1u
Simon Hunter
Simon Hunter
400d ago
Last 30d: 24-32-0 (-11.5u)
TB -1.5 (1H)-109
1u
ATL +2.5-104
0.96u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
400d ago
Last 30d: 271-252-8 (+11.4u)
ATL +3-120
0.83u
Convince Me
Convince Me
400d ago
Last 30d: 28-29-1 (-3.4u)
TB -0.5 (1H)-109
1u
@SimonHunterNFL
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
400d ago
Last 30d: 32-56-1 (-8.4u)
TB -2.5-115
0.58u
Sandy  Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
400d ago
Last 30d: 125-108-2 (+21.8u)
B.Robinson o25.5 Rec Yds-112
$56.00
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
400d ago
Last 30d: 127-101-1 (+15.0u)
Under 37.5-110
1.82u
Retirement home snooze fest
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
400d ago
Last 30d: 69-52-0 (+10.4u)
D.London o48.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
Full write up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-player-props-week-7-picks-drake-london-josh-downs?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=propbetguy
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
400d ago
Last 30d: 42-90-2 (-4.7u)
K.Hodge Anytime TD Scorer+1400
0.25u
Bet at PointsBet. Down to +1200 everywhere else. I’m banking on a longshot TD scorer for Falcons this week. Hodge and Mycole Pruitt. Both playing out of slot and get short throws from Ridder. Perfect goalline candidates. For full analysis, watch The Touchdown Show on Sunday at 11:30am ET on Action Network YT page.
M.Pruitt Anytime TD Scorer+1900
0.3u
Bet at DraftKings. Down to +1200 everywhere else. Has 7 TD since start of 2021 season. Pitts/Jonnu have 6 TD combined in same stretch. For full analysis, watch The Touchdown Show on Sunday at 11:30am ET on Action Network YT page.
Sunday Six Pack
Sunday Six Pack
401d ago
Last 30d: 13-17-0 (-5.7u)
TB -2.5-110
1.1u
Raybon 2
The Favorites Podcast
The Favorites Podcast
401d ago
Last 30d: 9-11-0 (-3.2u)
ATL +2.5-110
1u
Big Balls Bet of the Week
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
402d ago
Last 30d: 80-89-3 (+28.9u)
B.Robinson o3.5 Recs+120
1u
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
402d ago
Last 30d: 87-130-0 (-6.4u)
TB -1.5 (1H)+100
1u
Milly Props
Milly Props
402d ago
Last 30d: 11-4-0 (+6.1u)
D.London o3.5 Recs-130
0.77u
Brandon Anderson
Brandon Anderson
402d ago
Last 30d: 37-55-0 (+9.1u)
TB -1 (1H)-110
1u
Week 7 Best Bets pod!
Royals Props
Royals Props
403d ago
Last 30d: 64-43-1 (+17.9u)
R.White o70.5 Rush + Rec Yds-105
1u
Chris Raybon
Chris Raybon
403d ago
Last 30d: 14-16-2 (-3.9u)
TB -135
1u
Brian Edwards
Brian Edwards
404d ago
Last 30d: 18-22-2 (-6.2u)
TB -2.5-112
1u
Jim Sannes
Jim Sannes
405d ago
Last 30d: 16-21-0 (+10.5u)
TB -2.5-112
1u
Available at FanDuel. I think laying less than a field goal here is pretty attractive given the way the two teams match up. The Bucs' rush defense showed some life again Sunday, even if it was against a beaten-up Lions backfield. After adjusting for opponent, the Bucs are now allowing -0.06 Rushing EPA per attempt on early downs, according to numberFire's EPA model, a good chunk better than the league average of -0.01. The pass defense has been good on early downs, too -- they've just struggled to get off the field on late downs. Meanwhile, the Falcons' defense has gotten shredded through the air while stopping the rush effectively. With the Bucs' passing attack being healthy, I think they should be able to move the ball on this defense, and they should be able to hold the Falcons' rushing offense in check. I have the Bucs favored by more than a field goal, so I'll lay the 2.5.

PRO Insights

Falcons logo

Falcons

ATL Insights
  • Falcons logoThe Falcons have scored on 52% of their drives in late and close games since Week 17 of the 2022 Season -- fourth-best in NFL. The Buccaneers defense has allowed scores on 39% of opponent drives in close and late situations since Week 17 of the 2022 Season -- 10th-worst in NFL.
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Buccaneers logo

Buccaneers

TB Insights
  • Buccaneers logoThe Falcons have turned the ball over 10 times this season -- tied for sixth-most in NFL. The Buccaneers have forced 10 turnovers this season -- tied for eighth-most in NFL.
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Falcons vs. Buccaneers Props

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Falcons vs. Buccaneers Public Betting Percentages

52%

Bets%

48%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Buccaneers
7-43-34-13-14-3
Falcons
5-62-43-24-41-2

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Buccaneers
7-44-23-22-25-2
Falcons
4-72-42-34-40-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Buccaneers
5-6N/AN/A3-12-5
Falcons
6-5N/AN/A5-31-2

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Oct 15thDETL 6-20+3 LU 43.5DET +134
Oct 1st@NOW 26-9+4.5 WU 41TB +180
Sep 25thPHIL 11-25+6 LU 44PHI +205
Sep 17thCHIW 27-17-2.5 WO 41TB -130
Sep 10th@MINW 20-17+4 WU 44.5TB +166

Buccaneers vs. Falcons Injury Updates

Buccaneers Injuries

  • Troy Hill
    CB

    Hill is questionable with ankle

    Questionable

  • Chris Godwin
    WR

    Godwin is out with foot

    Out

  • Jamel Dean
    CB

    Dean is questionable with hamstring

    Questionable

  • Greg Gaines
    DE

    Gaines is questionable with calf

    Questionable

  • Tristan Wirfs
    T

    Wirfs is doubtful with knee

    Doubtful

  • Zyon McCollum
    CB

    McCollum is questionable with hamstring

    Questionable

  • Evan Deckers
    LS

    Deckers is questionable with hamstring

    Questionable

  • Tykee Smith
    DB

    Smith is out with knee

    Out

  • Kameron Johnson
    WR

    Johnson is out with ankle

    Out

Falcons Injuries

  • Antonio Hamilton
    CB

    Hamilton is out with pectoral

    Out

  • Mike Hughes
    CB

    Hughes is out with neck

    Out

  • Charlie Woerner
    TE

    Woerner is out with concussion

    Out

  • James Smith-Williams
    DE

    Smith-Williams is out with tibia

    Out

  • Ta'Quon Graham
    DE

    Graham is out with pectoral

    Out

  • Dee Alford
    CB

    Alford is out with hamstring

    Out

  • Troy Andersen
    LB

    Andersen is out with knee

    Out

  • Ruke Orhorhoro
    DT

    Orhorhoro is out with ankle

    Out

  • JD Bertrand
    LB

    Bertrand is out with concussion

    Out

Team Stats
401
Total Yards
329
64
Total Plays
65
6.3
Yards Per Play
5.1
250
YDS
275
19/25
Comps/Atts
27/42
9.423
YPA
5.689
0/0
TDs/INTs
1/1
1/5
Sacks/Yards
3/19
156
Rush Yards
73
38
Attempts
20
4.105
YPC
3.65
1
TDs
0
3
Fumbles Lost
1
0
Interceptions
1
1/5 20%
Redzone
0/2 0%
7/13 0%
3rd Down
6/12 0%
0/0 0%
4th Down
0/1 0%
20
Total
21
9
Pass
13
10
Rush
2
1
Penalty
6
9/60
Penalties/Yards
9/66
29:59
Possession
30:01

Falcons vs. Buccaneers Odds Comparison

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Falcons at Buccaneers Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Falcons
6-5
o17.5+100
u17.5-122
Buccaneers
5-6
o20-109
u20-112