Falcons vs. Jaguars Odds & Betting Predictions - October 1, 2023

Just getting the blood flowing this morning

Every Team Every Game: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-week-4-preview-odds-picks-every-game-every-team

@Stuckey2

Stuckey 3

Buying out, too much wonkiness with London

Etienne is over this line in 2/3 this season - averaging a tidy 4.2 YPC, but not really with any explosive runs right now (one rush over 20 yards). I like the Jags to give him the ball, especially with some shaky passing production over the last two games. The Falcons are also allowing 4.2 YPC to opposing RBs (2/3 have hit this against them with a miss by AJ Dillon at 15). And JAC is 8th right now in rush play% in neutral gamescripts (48%) and teams are running at 46% vs ATL in the same situations (6th highest). I also don’t love the Falcons ability to run the ball vs this jags defense, and their passing game hasn’t instilled much confidence. Hard to to envision a situation in which the jags find themselves down by multiple scores late in the game - but even if they do, like last week, a scenario exists for Etienne to still hit this, as he’s been the most consistent part of this offense so far. Reports are that Doug Pederson took over playcalling in the second half last week (which he said was false), but something did change because Etienne got 7 totes in the 3Q (despite being down 17 at half) and the Jags finally put points on the board. Regardless of who is calling the plays, I expect them to establish the run earlier.