Steelers vs. Colts Odds & Betting Predictions - December 16, 2023

Steelers at Colts

9:30 pm • NFL Network
13 - 30

Steelers at Colts Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Steelers
8-2
+1.5
+1.5-105
o41.5-112
+103
Colts
5-6
u42.5
-1.5-115
u41.5-114
-121
location pinSaturday 9:30 p.m.
December 16, 2023
Lucas Oil StadiumIndianapolis
Steelers vs. Colts Expert Picks
Milly Props
Milly Props
340d ago
Last 30d: 10-5-0 (+5.2u)
N.Harris Anytime TD Scorer Yes+150
0.25u
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
341d ago
Last 30d: 147-186-1 (-46.9u)
PIT +108
2.5u
D.Johnson o44.5 Rec Yds-110
1.5u
Charlie DiSturco
Charlie DiSturco
341d ago
Last 30d: 40-63-2 (-6.9u)
J.Warren o16.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
G.Pickens Anytime TD Scorer Yes+290
0.5u
Kevin  Thomas
Kevin Thomas
341d ago
Last 30d: 11-24-0 (-13.7u)
PIT +1.5-110
1u
Dale Tanhardt
Dale Tanhardt
341d ago
Last 30d: 17-36-0 (+40.1u)
G.Minshew Anytime TD Scorer Yes+650
0.35u
N.Harris Anytime TD Scorer Yes+150
0.75u
Jonathan Jorcin
Jonathan Jorcin
341d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
IND -1-110
1u
Vegasinsider for all play. Follow the Twitter @reno_jonny
Milly Props
Milly Props
341d ago
Last 30d: 10-5-0 (+5.2u)
J.Warren o8.5 Rush Att-140
0.71u
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
341d ago
Last 30d: 35-24-0 (+6.8u)
G.Pickens u3.5 Recs-125
1u
YBK Picks.com
341d ago
Last 30d: 55-39-1 (+29.7u)
PIT +1-105
3u
Simon Hunter
Simon Hunter
341d ago
Last 30d: 21-24-0 (-6.4u)
PIT +1-110
1u
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
341d ago
Last 30d: 147-186-1 (-46.9u)
Over 42.5-110
1.5u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
341d ago
Last 30d: 268-267-8 (+3.6u)
PIT +105
1u
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
341d ago
Last 30d: 69-52-0 (+10.4u)
N.Harris o13.5 Rush Att-125
1.25u
Over in 8/L11, and more pertinently, 2/L3 since Canada was fired. His snap share and carry share have maintained compared to Warren, despite rumblings he’d be demoted. He’s still commanding the early down work. Colts are a great opponent - they play fast, allowing the most offensive plays per game, and rank 26th in DVOA vs the run (FTN). They allow 26 RB att per game - second most in the NFL. I have faith the Steelers defense bounces back and keeps this game close.
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
341d ago
Last 30d: 147-186-1 (-46.9u)
PIT o20.5 Team Total-112
2.8u
D.Johnson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+270
2.7u
The Touchdown Show
The Touchdown Show
341d ago
Last 30d: 5-36-0 (-7.1u)
J.Downs Anytime TD Scorer Yes+275
0.5u
@TheBMatt
G.Pickens Anytime TD Scorer Yes+275
0.5u
@charliedisturco
D.Johnson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+275
1.38u
@GDAWG5000
Bruce  Marshall
Bruce Marshall
342d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
IND -1-110
0.91u
Green Dot Daily
Green Dot Daily
342d ago
Last 30d: 19-27-0 (-3.7u)
PIT +1.5-110
1u
@ChrisRaybon
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
342d ago
Last 30d: 47-84-1 (+5.0u)
D.Johnson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+275
1.38u
Sunday Six Pack
Sunday Six Pack
342d ago
Last 30d: 10-14-0 (-5.3u)
PIT +2.5-110
1.1u
Raybon 3
Sandy  Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
342d ago
Last 30d: 122-110-0 (+16.5u)
PIT +1.5-110
$55.00
Tanner McGrath
Tanner McGrath
342d ago
Last 30d: 78-68-3 (+2.3u)
Over 42-110
1u
PIT +1.5-110
1.1u
Capper Central
Capper Central
343d ago
Last 30d: 72-69-0 (-10.1u)
IND -125
$100.00
Chris Raybon
Chris Raybon
344d ago
Last 30d: 10-15-2 (-6.2u)
PIT +2-114
1u
Raheem Palmer
Raheem Palmer
344d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 42-109
1u
Royals Props
Royals Props
344d ago
Last 30d: 62-46-1 (+12.3u)
P.Freiermuth o31.5 Rec Yds-115
1.15u
Jim Sannes
Jim Sannes
345d ago
Last 30d: 13-20-0 (+8.7u)
IND -2.5-115
0.87u
Available at FanDuel. The Steelers' injuries here make it tough to have a ton of faith in them. Kenny Pickett is likely still out following his tightrope surgery, and now TJ Watt is in concussion protocol. Watt has 9 days to clear because they played Thursday, but given he is in protocol due to symptoms, I'd have to think the odds he's cleared are lower. Even with Watt assumed in, my numbers show value on the Colts. They sputtered badly against the Bengals thanks to their poor defense, but that won't be as big of a concern against this version of the Steelers. We know their limitations -- but we know the Steelers', too. If Watt is ruled out, I'd expect this to hit three, and my model has it decently clear of that, as well. Even at -115, I like the Colts -2.5 here.

PRO Insights

Steelers logo

Steelers

PIT Insights
  • Steelers logo The Steelers have allowed 5.0 PPG during the second half since Week 11 -- second-best in NFL. The Colts have scored 7.3 points per game in the second half __Previous 4 Weeks PresentPerfect__ -- seventh-worst in NFL.
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Colts logo

Colts

IND Insights
  • Colts logo The Colts have allowed 4.6 yards per dropback against the shotgun since Week 11 -- third-best in NFL. The Steelers have thrown for 5.9 yards per attempt out of the shotgun __Previous 4 Weeks PresentPerfect__ -- tied for ninth-worst in NFL.
TRY FOR FREE

Steelers vs. Colts Previews & Analysis

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Steelers vs. Colts Props

Prop Projections

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Steelers vs. Colts Public Betting Percentages

46%

Bets%

54%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Colts
8-34-14-22-16-2
Steelers
8-24-14-14-24-0

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Colts
5-63-22-40-35-3
Steelers
5-52-33-23-32-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Colts
5-6N/AN/A2-13-5
Steelers
8-2N/AN/A4-24-0

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Dec 10th@CINL 14-34+3 LO 44.5CIN +136
Dec 3rd@TENW 31-28-1.5 WO 42.5IND -130
Nov 26thTBW 27-20-2.5 WO 44.5IND -145
Nov 12th@NEW 10-6-1.5 WU 42.5IND -120
Nov 5th@CARW 27-13-1.5 WU 44.5IND -125

Steelers vs. Colts Injury Updates

Steelers Injuries

  • MyCole Pruitt
    TE

    Pruitt is doubtful with knee

    Doubtful

  • Tyler Matakevich
    LB

    Matakevich is questionable with hamstring

    Questionable

  • Jamal Agnew
    WR

    Agnew is out with leg

    Out

  • C.J. Henderson
    CB

    Henderson is out with neck

    Out

  • Alex Highsmith
    LB

    Highsmith is out with ankle

    Out

  • Ben Skowronek
    WR

    Skowronek is questionable with shoulder

    Questionable

  • Dylan Cook
    T

    Cook is out with foot

    Out

  • Cory Trice
    DB

    Trice is out with hamstring

    Out

  • Roman Wilson
    WR

    Wilson is out with hamstring

    Out

Colts Injuries

  • E.J. Speed
    LB

    Speed is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Cameron McGrone
    LB

    McGrone is questionable with elbow

    Questionable

  • Bernhard Raimann
    T

    Raimann is out with knee

    Out

  • Jaylon Carlies
    DB

    Carlies is out with knee

    Out

Team Stats
216
Total Yards
372
54
Total Plays
65
4
Yards Per Play
5.7
172
YDS
215
18/26
Comps/Atts
18/28
4.733
YPA
6.516
1/2
TDs/INTs
3/0
4/30
Sacks/Yards
3/13
74
Rush Yards
170
24
Attempts
34
3.083
YPC
5
1
TDs
0

Turnovers

1
Fumbles Lost
0
2
Interceptions
0

Efficiency

2/2 100%
Redzone
3/6 50%
4/12 0%
3rd Down
6/15 0%
2/3 0%
4th Down
1/2 0%

First Downs

13
Total
19
9
Pass
8
3
Rush
9
1
Penalty
2
8/101
Penalties/Yards
2/10
26:40
Possession
33:20

Steelers vs. Colts Odds Comparison

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Steelers at Colts Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Steelers
8-2
o20.5+105
u20.5-118
Colts
5-6
o20.5-116
u20.5-115