The 2021 NFL schedule is out, which means it's once again time to run our model's simulations for the season.
Travis Reed, our in-house Data Manager, simulated the season 10,000 times to calculate projections for all 32 teams: Their chances to make the playoffs, win the Super Bowl, and more.
Let's dive right in.
Note: The following projections are alphabetically ordered by city name and assume that Aaron Rodgers will start the season in Green Bay.
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Arizona Cardinals
- Projected Win Total: 8.87
- Projected Odds to Win Division: 20.60%
- Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 47.00%
- Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 2.70%
Atlanta Falcons
- Projected Win Total: 8.74
- Projected Odds to Win Division: 20.00%
- Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 44.00%
- Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 1.90%
Baltimore Ravens
- Projected Win Total: 10.13
- Projected Odds to Win Division: 45.40%
- Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 72.00%
- Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 9.00%
Buffalo Bills
- Projected Win Total: 10.47
- Projected Odds to Win Division: 57.10%
- Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 80.00%
- Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 10.40%
Carolina Panthers
- Projected Win Total: 7.57
- Projected Odds to Win Division: 7.30%
- Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 24.00%
- Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 0.20%
Chicago Bears
- Projected Win Total: 7.68
- Projected Odds to Win Division: 14.10%
- Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 31.00%
- Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 0.90%
Cincinnati Bengals
- Projected Win Total: 8.18
- Projected Odds to Win Division: 13.50%
- Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 34.00%
- Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 1.20%
Cleveland Browns
- Projected Win Total: 8.9
- Projected Odds to Win Division: 20.50%
- Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 49.00%
- Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 3.30%
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Dallas Cowboys
- Projected Win Total: 8.84
- Projected Odds to Win Division: 41.40%
- Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 52.00%
- Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 3.10%
Denver Broncos
- Projected Win Total: 6.8
- Projected Odds to Win Division: 4.90%
- Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 14.00%
- Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 0.20%
Detroit Lions
- Projected Win Total: 6.95
- Projected Odds to Win Division: 7.50%
- Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 18.00%
- Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 0.20%
Green Bay Packers
- Projected Win Total: 10.11
- Projected Odds to Win Division: 60.30%
- Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 75.00%
- Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 11.30%
Houston Texans
- Projected Win Total: 4.31
- Projected Odds to Win Division: 1.10%
- Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 1.00%
- Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 0.00%
Indianapolis Colts
- Projected Win Total: 8.24
- Projected Odds to Win Division: 23.30%
- Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 39.00%
- Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 1.10%
Jacksonville Jaguars
- Projected Win Total: 7.38
- Projected Odds to Win Division: 12.40%
- Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 23.00%
- Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 0.20%
Kansas City Chiefs
- Projected Win Total: 10.4
- Projected Odds to Win Division: 53.00%
- Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 77.00%
- Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 9.00%
Los Angeles Chargers
- Projected Win Total: 9.4
- Projected Odds to Win Division: 30.00%
- Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 58.00%
- Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 2.40%
Los Angeles Rams
- Projected Win Total: 8.95
- Projected Odds to Win Division: 22.80%
- Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 50.00%
- Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 1.90%
Las Vegas Raiders
- Projected Win Total: 7.93
- Projected Odds to Win Division: 12.10%
- Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 30.00%
- Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 1.20%
Miami Dolphins
- Projected Win Total: 9.36
- Projected Odds to Win Division: 28.70%
- Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 59.00%
- Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 3.10%
Minnesota Vikings
- Projected Win Total: 8.05
- Projected Odds to Win Division: 18.10%
- Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 35.00%
- Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 1.70%
New England Patriots
- Projected Win Total: 7.35
- Projected Odds to Win Division: 6.70%
- Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 21.00%
- Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 0.30%
New Orleans Saints
- Projected Win Total: 9.1
- Projected Odds to Win Division: 23.90%
- Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 54.00%
- Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 3.50%
New York Giants
- Projected Win Total: 7.4
- Projected Odds to Win Division: 15.70%
- Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 25.00%
- Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 0.40%
New York Jets
- Projected Win Total: 7.52
- Projected Odds to Win Division: 7.50%
- Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 23.00%
- Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 0.80%
Philadelphia Eagles
- Projected Win Total: 7.43
- Projected Odds to Win Division: 15.90%
- Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 24.00%
- Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 0.60%
Pittsburgh Steelers
- Projected Win Total: 8.83
- Projected Odds to Win Division: 20.60%
- Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 47.00%
- Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 2.50%
San Francisco 49ers
- Projected Win Total: 8.88
- Projected Odds to Win Division: 21.80%
- Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 47.00%
- Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 2.30%
Seattle Seahawks
- Projected Win Total: 9.7
- Projected Odds to Win Division: 34.80%
- Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 62.00%
- Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 5.80%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Projected Win Total: 10.36
- Projected Odds to Win Division: 48.80%
- Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 75.00%
- Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 9.80%
Tennessee Titans
- Projected Win Total: 9.97
- Projected Odds to Win Division: 63.20%
- Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 73.00%
- Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 6.80%
Washington Redskins
- Projected Win Total: 8.16
- Projected Odds to Win Division: 27.00%
- Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 37.00%
- Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 2.20%
