NFL Player Props for Bills vs. Jets: Aaron Rodgers, Khalil Shakir Among Most Valuable Bets

NFL Player Props for Bills vs. Jets: Aaron Rodgers, Khalil Shakir Among Most Valuable Bets article feature image
Credit:

Picture by Getty Images.

Bills Logo
Monday, Sept. 11
8:15 p.m. ET
ESPN/ABC
Jets Logo
Bills Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-2
-110
45
-110o / -110u
-130
Jets Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+2
-110
45
-110o / -110u
+110
Odds via PointsBet. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.
PointsBet Logo

The Action Network's proprietary betting algorithms have churned out the three most valuable player prop picks for Bills vs. Jets.

The algorithms are developed by our predictive analytics team, which make empirical predictions on every game with value and have created popular benchmark statistics like the Luck Rankings.

Header First Logo
Header Second Logo

Bills vs. Jets

Most Valuable Prop Bets


  1. Khalil Shakir under 8.5 receiving yards (-115)
  2. Khalil Shakir under 0.5 receptions (+185)
  3. Aaron Rodgers over 32.5 pass attempts (-130)

Header First Logo

Bills vs. Jets

What's The Value?

The algorithms absolutely despise Khalil Shakir for this Monday night tilt — especially with the newly added presence of tight end Dalton Kincaid. Shakir's production relative to last season's market prices are expected to diminish under 12 personnel.

Shakir is projected to put up just two yards receiving and 0.6 receptions. At a +185 vig, Shakir's under on receptions is worthwhile, providing a roughly 19% edge, according to our algorithms. The +185 price is available at DraftKings. Shakir's best market price for his receiving yards under is with BetMGM.

Meanwhile, Rodgers is expected to drop back and pass more than the market anticipates.

Our algos project 36.5 pass attempts on the night relative to a market-best price of o32.5 at FanDuel.

About the Author
Avery Yang is an editor at the Action Network who focuses on breaking news across the sports world and betting algorithms that try to predict eventual outcomes. He is also Darren Rovell's editor. Avery is a recent graduate from Northwestern University's Medill School of Journalism. He has written for the Washington Post, the Associated Press, Sports Illustrated, (the old) Deadspin, MLB.com and others.

Follow Avery Yang @avery_yang on Twitter/X.

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.