Bengals vs Ravens Parlay
I'm honed in on two Ravens stars and a Bengals receiver who will have an elevated role for Thursday Night Football. Put the three together, and you have my Bengals vs. Ravens SGP.
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The Parlay: +149 at FanDuel
Mark Andrews 40+ Receiving Yards (-290)
Lamar Jackson 25+ Rushing Yards (-490)
Tyler Boyd 4+ Receptions (-210)
TE Mark Andrews
40+ Receiving Yards
Despite the revamped wide receiver room in Baltimore, Andrews still leads this team in receiving yards per game at 57.9. The sixth-year pro has cleared this line in eight of his nine games this season, as well as in each of his last five against the Bengals dating back to 2021.
It’s not just Andrews who the Bengals have struggled with — it's all tight ends. Cincinnati is allowing the third-most receiving yards per game to the position (66.9) and ranks 30th in DVOA against opposing TEs.
Coming off a hard-fought loss to the Browns that saw Andrews targeted just four times, I expect him to be featured prominently in a huge divisional matchup.
QB Lamar Jackson
25+ Rushing Yards
No matter the offensive scheme, Jackson is always a threat to take off and run. The mobile quarterback has eclipsed this line in nine of his 10 games so far this season and is 30 of 32 to the over in full games played since the beginning of the 2021 season.
With the short spread and a close game expected, Jackson should remain a threat to take off and run throughout the contest.
WR Tyler Boyd
4+ Receptions
Shifting gears to the Bengals offense, I’m honing in on Boyd, who has gone over this line in six of his nine games, including both matchups that Cincinnati has been without Tee Higgins, who has already been ruled out tonight.
Yes, the Ravens will likely be without their best cornerback, Marlon Humphrey, who is listed as doubtful with a calf injury. While that does soften the matchup for Ja’Marr Chase, Boyd should still get the requisite volume we’ll need from him in Baltimore tonight.
The Ravens defense is stout against deep passes, ranking second in DVOA against deep balls. Baltimore has only allowed 7.8 yards per completion, which is the lowest mark in the NFL, with a 7.6 average depth of target (11th lowest).
Boyd’s average depth of target of 7.5 yards is the shortest amongst the Bengals' regular receivers (including Trenton Irwin, who will start in place of Higgins). With the Ravens likely shifting safety coverage to help protect against Chase, I expect Boyd to see plenty of one-on-one coverage.
