We’re set for an intriguing NFL Week 4 Sunday Night Football clash between the Buffalo Bills and Baltimore Ravens (8:20 p.m. ET, NBC) as superstar quarterbacks Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson square off for the fifth time in their respective careers.
I'm all over Bills vs. Ravens player props for Sunday Night Football, with four SNF props that target various markets, including passing yards, rushing yards and receiving yards.
Sam Farley's Bills vs. Ravens Player Props for SNF
- Derrick Henry Over 68.5 Rushing Yards (-110, bet365)
- Justice Hill Over 14.5 Receiving Yards (-110, BetRivers)
- Josh Allen Over 229.5 Passing Yards (-110, bet365)
- Dalton Kincaid Over 35.5 Receiving Yards (-120, BetMGM)
| Bills Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2.5 -105 | 46.5 -110o / -110u | +120 |
| Ravens Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2.5 -115 | 46.5 -110o / -110u | -140 |
Derrick Henry
Over 68.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Derrick Henry has been getting more and more involved with the Ravens offense every week, really becoming a key part of how the team wants to play. He’s seen his carries go from 13, to 18, to 25 last week, with him returning increased yardage of 46, 84 and 151 each week too.
He’s primed to be heavily used once again against a Bills team who look shaky against the run. Travis Etienne rushed for 68 yards on just 11 carries last week as the Jags played from a heavy deficit, with De’Von Achane rushing for 96 yards until similar circumstances the week before.
Justice Hill
Over 14.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Through three games, we’ve seen Justice Hills get Over 14.5 receiving yards twice, including last week against the Cowboys. With Derrick Henry now in town, it’s clear that Hill is the team’s pass catcher, with Henry very much the battering ram. Henry has just two catches on four targets, with Hill having five times the amount of catches on three times as many targets.
We’ve seen Hill get less of the ball with Henry dominating on the ground, but he’s still a very capable receiving option and with this game expected to be close, we should see more opportunity for the Ravens to look to create mismatches with their RB.
Josh Allen
Over 229.5 Passing Yards (-110)
The Ravens have played two of the NFL’s better quarterbacks, as well as Gardner Minshew, so far this season, so we need to be slightly cautious around sample size, but there’s already a fascinating split between their defenses’s ability against the rush and the pass. No team in the NFL has given up fewer rushing yards per game, with an average of just 50, but the average of 291.7 passing yards allowed is the biggest in the league but nearly 40 yards.
The Ravens’ ability against the run should alter the Bills’ strategy here, with James Cook seeing less work as a rusher and Josh Allen airing the ball out. Last week against the Jags, the worst team in teams of passing yards allowed, we saw Allen’s highest amount of passing attempts yet. Allen has broken 229.5 passing yards twice already this season and really should be here.
Dalton Kincaid
Over 35.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
One player who should be able to take advantage of the Bills, opting to pass more, is Dalton Kincaid. He’s had just eight catches for 85 yards and a touchdown this season but did see increased usage last week when the Bills opted to pass. Last week, he went 3-41-1 and a similar stat line is likely here.
Over the past two weeks, we’ve seen tight ends torch the Ravens. Jake Ferguson of the Cowboys had 95 passing yards last week, marginally behind the 98 that Brock Bowers managed the week before. That should give us optimism that we will see a big day for number 86 against the Ravens.
