Broncos vs Bills Player Prop: Fading Josh Allen on Monday Night Football

Broncos vs Bills Player Prop: Fading Josh Allen on Monday Night Football article feature image
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Getty Images. Pictured: Josh Allen.

Broncos vs Bills Player Prop: Josh Allen

Broncos Logo
Monday, Nov. 13
8:15 p.m. ET
ESPN
Bills Logo
Josh Allen Under 277.5 Passing Yards (-115)
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Allen has thrown an interception in 5 straight games. I'd expect the Bills to have a bit more of a conservative game plan tonight as a result, especially against a beatable team like the Broncos.

Allen’s average intended air yards have been much lower over the past two games. In Week 8 it was just 5.7 yards downfield (third lowest in the NFL), last week it was 7.1 yards downfield (12th lowest).

We have also seen Allen lean on his legs a bit more with at least seven rush attempts in three straight games.

I realize the Broncos have one of the worst pass defenses in the league, but they also have one of the worst run Ds. That's even more reason that we could see more of a balanced approach tonight, especially if Buffalo gets out to an early lead.

I have his median closer to 260.5 with a 60% chance he stays under 277.5.

About the Author
Sean is The Action Network's Director of Predictive Analytics. He was named the No. 1 fantasy football draft ranker of 2019 by FantasyPros, where he's also finished as the top in-season ranker in three of the past five seasons

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