Expert Reveals +700 Prop Pick for Ravens vs. Bills

For the final game of the NFL Divisional Round — Ravens vs. Bills — I have found massive value on a long-shot prop bet.

I'm fading the Ravens defense in a specific prop market on Sunday night. Baltimore generated four sacks in its Wild Card Round win over the Steelers — I'm not sure that effort can be replicated against Josh Allen.

Let's get into it.

Ravens vs. Bills Props

January 19

6:30 p.m. EST

CBS

Ravens to Record a Sack — NO (+700; 0.5 units)

Quickslip

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The Ravens have generated the eighth-lowest pressure rate and blitz at the seventh-lowest rate.

Bills QB Josh Allen has faced the 12th-lowest pressure rate, but, importantly for this bet, he's very tough to sack. Allen's 8.5% pressure to sack rate is the lowest in the league.

This season, Allen hasn’t been sacked in seven of the 17 full games he's played (40% rate).

I’m projecting the Ravens for only 1.3 sacks in this game, and I have Allen not getting sacked closer to 27%, which is a fair price closer to +270.

I think we are getting massive value on the Ravens to not record a sack at +700.