Josh Allen, Tua Tagovailoa, Tyreek Hill Player Props Are the Most Popular for Bills vs Dolphins

Josh Allen, Tua Tagovailoa, Tyreek Hill Player Props Are the Most Popular for Bills vs Dolphins article feature image
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ORCHARD PARK, NEW YORK – (Photo by Bryan M. Bennett/Getty Images) Pictured: Josh Allen

Josh Allen, Tua Tagovailoa, Tyreek Hill Player Props

Buffalo Bills Logo
Thursday, Sept. 12
8:15 p.m. ET
Prime Video
Miami Dolphins Logo
Bills +2.5 (-110)
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The most popular player prop bets for Thursday Night Football between the Bills and Dolphins involve the two quarterbacks and two of the most important skill position players involved in tonight's contest.

And since this is the public, four of the five most popular props are on the over — especially for Bills quarterback Josh Allen and Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa.

The one under on the list is predicated on Bills tight end Dalton Kincaid, and that's mostly based on recency bias. Kincaid received just one target during Buffalo's win against the Cardinals four days ago despite playing 51 snaps and running 25 routes. While he's still a prominent part of the overall gameplan, the Bills are running wide receivers (and tight ends) by committee this season, so wealth will be redistributed game-to-game.

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Bills vs. Dolphins Most Popular Prop Wagers

  1. Josh Allen over 244.5 passing yards (115)
  2. Tua Tagovailoa over 4.5 rushing yards (-115)
  3. Josh Allen over 2.5 passing touchdowns (-110)
  4. Tyreek Hill over 97.5 receiving yards (-115)
  5. Dalton Kincaid under 44.5 receiving yards (-115)

This data is courtesy of BetMGM.

Josh Allen to overperform his totals constitutes two of the three most popular props on the night. In 13 career games against the Dolphins, Allen has thrown for two or more touchdowns each time and is 11-2. And while Allen's passing yards prop is most prominent, projections indicate he's only expected to throw for about 235.8 passing yards on Thursday night, according to our algorithms.

Meanwhile, the public is going chalk with Tyreek Hill's receiving yards prop, which has already been steamed down from a high of 98.5 to its current mark of 95.5 yards. It's as low as 94.5 at FanDuel.


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About the Author
Avery Yang is an editor at the Action Network who focuses on breaking news across the sports world and betting algorithms that try to predict eventual outcomes. Avery is a graduate from Northwestern University's Medill School of Journalism. He has written for the Washington Post, the Associated Press, Sports Illustrated, (the old) Deadspin, MLB.com and others.

Follow Avery Yang @avery_yang on Twitter/X.

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