PropBetGuy will break down some of his favorite NFL plays of the day and will track all his bets in The Action Network app.
Michael Pittman Receptions
| Prop | Over 5.5 Receptions (+105) |
| Matchup | Chiefs vs. Colts |
| Day, Time | Sunday, 1 p.m. ET |
| Best Book | BetMGM |
A winless first two weeks wasn’t exactly how the Colts envisioned starting the season. Things won’t get much easier today with the powerhouse Chiefs in town.
At the least, having Michael Pittman Jr. back in action should provide a boost to Indianapolis’ offense. The third-year wideout put up a monster Week 1 line, with nine catches for 121 yards on 13 targets in Houston. Pittman's 26% target share and 28% catch share substantiated the chemistry that was built with Matt Ryan in the preseason.
Of course, a one-game sample size is far from trustworthy, but the matchup against the Chiefs should serve as a great spot for the USC product to rack up the catches. Kansas City ranked 23rd in Football Outsider’s pass defense DVOA last season, and it's 22nd through two games this year. The Chiefs have also allowed 31 receptions to opposing receivers so far.
Pittman missed last week’s game with a quad injury, but reports out of Colts camp have him as fully healthy coming into today.
I have Pittman seeing 10 targets in what should be a fast-paced, high-scoring affair. That makes over 5.5 receptions one of my favorite plays on the Sunday slate.
Pick: Michael Pittman Over 5.5 Receptions (+105, play to -125)
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