To attack the Monday Night Football matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Minnesota Vikings, I’m going the same game parlay route, featuring primary receiving options from each team in Brandon Aiyuk and Jordan Addison.
Check out my 49ers vs. Vikings SGP picks and analysis below.
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Brandon Aiyuk
60+ Receiving Yards
The 49ers are without Deebo Samuel and Christian McCaffery is suiting up at less than 100%. Aiyuk, who leads the 49ers in all major receiving categories despite missing one game, should be in for a heavy workload.
Aiyuk has cleared this line in three of five games this season, with one near miss at 58 yards. In his career without Samuel active, Aiyuk had pushed past 60 receiving yards in seven of 11 games.
Per Fantasy Points Data, the Arizona State alum has a first read percentage of 33.4% this season, which leads the 49ers. Without Samuel, who ranks second (21%), I expect plenty of plays drawn up for Aiyuk.
The Vikings allow the third-most yards per game to wide receivers (194) this season. In a plus matchup, with 49ers injuries mounting, I have Aiyuk’s yardage projected in the high 70s.
Jordan Addison
40+ Receiving Yards
On the other side of the field, the Vikings will once again be without star receiver Justin Jefferson. This moves all the other Minnesota pass-catchers up in the pecking order, including rookie Jordan Addison.
The USC product has acquitted himself through his first six games, clearing this line four times, including in all three home games. With tonight’s game being played within the friendly confines of U.S. Bank stadium, where quarterback Kirk Cousins typically plays his best football, I like Addison’s chances to succeed.
Despite playing a relatively soft schedule, the 49ers have allowed seven receivers to reach the 40-yard plateau in six games. San Francisco is also a brutal matchup against tight ends (second in DVOA, per FTN Fantasy), which should make it tough sledding for the Vikings' second-leading receiver, T.J. Hockenson.
I have Addison earning another seven targets tonight, which should translate to about 55 yards.
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