NFL Player Props Week 14: Expert Best Bets for Sunday Afternoon Games

NFL Player Props Week 14: Expert Best Bets for Sunday Afternoon Games article feature image
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Action Network/Getty Images. Pictured from left to right: Jauan Jennings, Drake London and James Cook.

We have you covered with eight NFL player prop picks for Week 14 for Sunday afternoon's slate of games.

Our props only cover four games, starting with three picks for Raiders vs. Buccaneers and Falcons vs. Vikings in the Kirk Cousins Bowl at 1 p.m. ET. Then, at 4:25, we have two picks for Bears vs. 49ers and a touchdown pick for Bills vs. Rams.

Let's dig into our NFL props for this week's Sunday slate.


NFL Picks: Player Props


Raiders vs. Buccaneers

Las Vegas Raiders Logo
Sunday, Dec. 8
1 p.m. ET
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Logo
Header First Logo

Jakobi Meyers Over 5.5 Receptions (-130)

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By Kyle Murray

Jakobi Meyers continues to shine in this Raiders offense, and he did so last week with Aidan O'Connell under center.

Since Davante Adams was traded, Meyers has accounted for a whopping 29% of the team's targets. That is a highly valuable role, especially considering how often this Raiders team is trailing in games, which has led to them throwing the ball 67% of the time (second in the NFL).

I'm expecting that to happen again this week, which will lead to a big workload for Meyers.

Pick: Jakobi Meyers Over 5.5 Receptions (-130) 



Raiders vs. Buccaneers

Las Vegas Raiders Logo
Sunday, Dec. 8
1 p.m. ET
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Logo
Header First Logo

Mike Evans Anytime TD Scorer (+125)

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By Grant Neiffer

Mike Evans has always been a big red-zone threat and with all the injuries to the Bucs offense right now, they should continue to rely heavily on him.

Evans had 12 targets and a touchdown last week and should see good volume in this game. The Raiders are near the bottom of the league in pass defense this season and in the middle of the pack against opposing WR1s.

The Bucs have an implied team total of 26.5, so there should be touchdowns scored here, and Evans is the most likely candidate, with seven touchdowns in nine games this season.

Pick: Mike Evans Anytime TD Scorer (+125) 



Raiders vs. Buccaneers

Las Vegas Raiders Logo
Sunday, Dec. 8
1 p.m. ET
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Logo
Header First Logo

Cade Otton Over 42.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

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By Sam Farley

The Bucs' NFC South hopes are on the line as they welcome the visiting Raiders, who are on an eight-game losing streak.

One of the weak points of the Raiders' defense this season has been how they've defended opposing tight ends. Only three teams have given up more yardage to the position this season than the Raiders, who are allowing an average of 66.9 yards per game to tight ends.

Step forward Cade Otton.

Mike Evans' return has seen Otton's numbers dip lately, but he's still averaging 42.1 yards per game and saw seven targets last week against the Panthers. In a great matchup for Otton, we should see a continuation of high volume and the yards to match.

Pick: Cade Otton Over 42.5 Receiving Yards (-110) 



Falcons vs. Vikings

Atlanta Falcons Logo
Sunday, Dec. 8
1 p.m. ET
Minnesota Vikings Logo
Header First Logo

Drake London Anytime TD Scorer (+175)

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By Grant Neiffer

This matchup is great for Drake London, and the books really haven't adjusted enough.

While the Vikings have been one of the best pass defenses in the league this season, they're a massive pass funnel. They have forced opponents to pass at the highest clip in the league and have allowed the fifth-most passing yards per game and the seventh-most receiving touchdowns to opposing wide receivers.

While Minnesota has a great pass defense overall, it ranks in the bottom third of the NFL against opposing WR1s. London has been one of the NFL's top red-zone targets with 19 targets and six touchdowns.

London is priced like he's in a tough matchup, but it's actually a good one for a receiver of his stature. I would hit these odds down to +140.

Pick: Drake London Anytime TD Scorer (+175) 



Falcons vs. Vikings

Atlanta Falcons Logo
Sunday, Dec. 8
1 p.m. ET
Minnesota Vikings Logo
Header First Logo

Kyle Pitts Under 34.5 Receiving Yards (-120)

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By Charlie Wright

Atlanta came out of the bye week in Week 13, but you couldn't tell by looking at Kyle Pitts' goose egg against the Chargers. The usage was discouraging all around.

Pitts played a season-low 41% of the snaps in Week 13 and was easily out-snapped by tight end Charlie Woerner. Kirk Cousins threw 39 passes, which are the most he's registered in a non-overtime game this season, but just two were to Pitts.

This was rock bottom for Pitts, but we've been heading here for a bit. He had exactly one catch in two of his last three games prior to last week. He now has a tiny 8.3% target share over his last four games, which ranks fifth on the Falcons.

The matchup against Minnesota is mediocre for Pitts. The Vikings been exploited through the air but mostly by wide receivers. They rank in the middle of the pack against tight ends.

Pick: Kyle Pitts Under 34.5 Receiving Yards (-120) 



Bears vs. 49ers

Chicago Bears Logo
Sunday, Dec. 8
4:25 p.m. ET
San Francisco 49ers Logo
Header First Logo

Jauan Jennings Over 55.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

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By Charlie Wright

Jauan Jennings leads the 49ers with a 28.8% target share since taking over for the injured Brandon Aiyuk. No other Niners receiver is above 20%. Jennings has 10 more targets than the next-closest player. Jennings has turned that volume into 280 yards over a four-game stretch, which includes a Brandon Allen start and the snow game against Buffalo.

San Francisco had a 15.3% running back target share through Week 9, the sixth-lowest in the league. In Weeks 10-13, it spiked to 23.8%, the second-highest in the league over that stretch, but those games were with Christian McCaffrey.

McCaffrey will leave behind a solid chunk of targets, and I'm not expecting Isaac Guerendo and Patrick Taylor to pick up the workload. San Francisco has shown that it will just ignore the running back position in the passing game if McCaffrey isn't in there. His absence should lead to a couple more targets for the likes of Jennings and George Kittle.

Chicago has had a solid pass defense at times this season but has cooled off lately in some tough matchups. The Bears have allowed the third-most yards per route run and the third-most yards per target over the last three weeks. Facing Green Bay, Minnesota and Detroit will do that to you.

The Bears going to have their hands full with Jennings and Kittle, and I'm going to back Jennings here.

Pick: Jauan Jennings Over 55.5 Receiving Yards (-115) 



Bears vs. 49ers

Chicago Bears Logo
Sunday, Dec. 8
4:25 p.m. ET
San Francisco 49ers Logo
Header First Logo

Keenan Allen Anytime TD Scorer (+275)

Header Trailing Logo

By Grant Neiffer

Keenan Allen has been a completely different player since the Bears fired offensive coordinator Shane Waldron. Head coach Matt Eberflus is gone, as well, but I don't see that having anything but a positive effect on Allen.

Allen has been used heavily in this offense over the last three games since Thomas Brown took over play-calling duties with eight, 15 and eight targets. His talents are being used the way they are supposed to over the last few weeks, and he's thriving. Allen has three touchdowns over the last two games and should continue to see good volume.

This matchup vs. the 49ers is an easier one on the ground, but the Bears should still continue to throw at a decent clip and Allen will be relied on heavily.

Pick: Keenan Allen Anytime TD Scorer (+275) 



Bills vs. Rams

Buffalo Bills Logo
Sunday, Dec. 8
4:25 p.m. ET
Los Angeles Rams Logo
Header First Logo

James Cook Anytime TD Scorer (-109)

Header Trailing Logo

By Sam Farley

This season James Cook has really established himself as a key cog in the Bills offense. He's racked up 12 touchdowns, double his total from last season by Week 14.

Cook has scored eight touchdowns in his past seven games and is somebody that the team is leaning on heavily. He's had double-digit carries in all but two weeks this season and is getting more goal-line work, with Josh Allen rushing less this year.

I'll play him to score another touchdown here at close to a pick'em.

Pick: James Cook Anytime TD Scorer (-109) 



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