NFL Player Prop Picks Week 8: Our Experts’ Sunday Best Bets

NFL Player Prop Picks Week 8: Our Experts’ Sunday Best Bets article feature image
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Action Network/Getty Images. Brock Bowers (top), Jalen Hurts (bottom left) and Tyreek Hill.

We have NFL player props for eight player across eight games on Sunday.

If you're looking for touchdown bets, we have three of them on three of the NFL's best at finding the end zone. We have overs on a couple of the NFL's best young pass-catchers, as well.

Here are our eight NFL props for the Sunday slate of Week 8.


NFL Player Props for Week 8


Eagles vs. Bengals

Philadelphia Eagles Logo
Sunday, Oct. 27
1 p.m. ET
Cincinnati Bengals Logo
Header First Logo

Jalen Hurts

Anytime TD Scorer (+165)

Header Trailing Logo

By Grant Neiffer

Jalen Hurts has continued his heavy usage in the red zone, with a massive 19 rushing attempts this season that rank sixth in the league. This game should be a shootout with the below-average Bengals defense and the Eagles' high-scoring offense.

The Eagles should be in the red zone often. Whenever I can get Hurts' TD odds this high in a high-scoring game, I'm going to take them.

Pick: Jalen Hurts Anytime TD Scorer (+165)



Packers vs. Jaguars

Green Bay Packers Logo
Sunday, Oct. 27
1 p.m. ET
Jacksonville Jaguars Logo
Header First Logo

Christian Kirk

Under 42.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

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By Charlie Wright

Christian Kirk's production has been tied to the health of Evan Engram.

In Engram's three healthy games, Kirk has five catches on 13 targets for 93 receiving yards. He's tied for thirrd on the team in target share at 16.9%. In the four games Engram missed, Kirk posted 20 catches on 29 targets for 227 receiving yards. He's second on the team in target share at 20.1%, barely behind rookie Brian Thomas Jr. (21%) for the team lead. Kirk's route participation was up 4% with Engram sidelined.

The matchup is a tough one for Kirk. He's lined up in the slot for more than 80% of his routes, and Green Bay has been stingy to slot receivers. The Packers rank in the top 10 in fewest yards per target, yards per route run and yards per reception against slot targets. They've ceded a solid amount of targets receivers from that spot, but I have concerns about Kirk's volume.

I'm expecting Kirk to continue seeing minimal opportunities with Engram healthy, and Green Bay has done well limiting slot receivers on a per-target basis.

Pick: Christian Kirk Under 42.5 Receiving Yards (-115)



Cardinals vs. Dolphins

Arizona Cardinals Logo
Sunday, Oct. 27
1 p.m. ET
Miami Dolphins Logo
Header First Logo

Tyreek Hill

Anytime TD Scorer (+110)

Header Trailing Logo

By Grant Neiffer

Tua Tagovailoa should be back this week, which means that Tyreek Hill shouldn't be plus money to score.

Hill had a massive 13 touchdowns last season and scored in most games. This week, the Dolphins get a matchup against a bad Arizona defense, and this is still the offense that was one of the best in the league last season with Tagovailoa.

I have the true odds at around -120, making this a great bet at plus money.

Pick: Tyreek Hill Anytime TD Scorer (+110)



Jets vs. Patriots

New York Jets Logo
Sunday, Oct. 27
1 p.m. ET
New England Patriots Logo
Header First Logo

Demario Douglas

Over 3.5 Receptions (-125)

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By Charlie Wright

I'm throwing out last week for Demario Douglas since he was sick and played a season-low 33% of the snaps. Douglas has been removed from the injury report, so he should be a full go this week. That means we should see more of the potentially awesome Drake Maye-Douglas connection.

Jacob Gibbs of CBS Sports pointed out that Douglas has a 40.5% target share when playing with Maye. He racked up six catches on nine targets for 92 yards in Maye's first start in Week 6. That was nearly twice as many targets as the next-closest pass catcher (Hunter Henry, five).

This matchup also sets up well for Douglas. The Jets play man coverage at the fifth-highest rate. They play Cover 1 more than any other coverage, and Douglas has a 20.5% target share and a 26% target per route run against man coverage, both of which lead the team. He's at just 13% and against zone but against Cover 1, Douglas has a 22.2% target share and a 27% target-per-route-run rate. Nearly half of Douglas' catches this season (12 of 26) have come against Cover 1.

Pick: Demario Douglas Over 3.5 Receptions (-125)



Ravens vs. Browns

Baltimore Ravens Logo
Sunday, Oct. 27
1 p.m. ET
Cleveland Browns Logo
Header First Logo

Jerry Jeudy

Over 43.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Header Trailing Logo

By Derek Farnsworth

Game-log watchers will not be impressed with Jerry Jeudy's performance in Cleveland's first game since the Amari Cooper trade. He only caught one of five targets and finished the game with 18 yards.

So, why do I love the over on his receiving prop this week?

Well, four of those five targets came from Jameis Winston in Cleveland's final drive of the game. With Deshaun Watson and Dorian Thompson-Robinson under center the first 56 minutes of the game, Jeudy only had one target. I know it's a small sample size, but it's enough for me to think Jeudy will be the Browns' WR1 with Winston under center.

Perhaps more importantly, the Browns are at home and facing the league's best pass-funnel matchup. The Ravens are first in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game and dead last in passing yards allowed.

Pick: Jerry Jeudy Over 43.5 Receiving Yards (-110)



Saints vs. Chargers

New Orleans Saints Logo
Sunday, Oct. 27
4:05 p.m. ET
Los Angeles Chargers Logo
Header First Logo

J.K. Dobbins

Over 75.5 Rushing Yards (-109)

Header Trailing Logo

By Sam Farley

The Saints have given up 146.7 rushing yards per game, the third most in the NFL, and now face a Chargers team that has fully bought into the ground game under Jim Harbaugh.

Dobbins has covered the 75.5 rushing yard line in three of six games this season and is averaging 79.6 rushing yards per game. Given the Saints' weakness against the run, this game is ripe for a big J.K. Dobbins game.

Pick: J.K. Dobbins Over 75.5 Rushing Yards (-109)



Bills vs. Seahawks

Buffalo Bills Logo
Sunday, Oct. 27
4:05 p.m. ET
Seattle Seahawks Logo
Header First Logo

Kenneth Walker

Anytime TD Scorer (-110)

Header Trailing Logo

By Grant Neiffer

Kenneth Walker has been an absolute touchdown machine this season, scoring in all but one game that he's played and has an incredible seven touchdowns in five games.

The Seahawks are now a pass-heavy team, but that changes in the red zone. Also, Walker is still very much involved in the passing game, so he's a big threat to score on the ground and through the air.

The Bills have a decent defense this season but have been bad against the run, which I expect Walker to take advantage of.

I have Walker at just over a 60% chance to score, making this a great bet.

Pick: Kenneth Walker Anytime TD Scorer (-110)



Chiefs vs. Raiders

Kansas City Chiefs Logo
Sunday, Oct. 27
4:25 p.m. ET
Las Vegas Raiders Logo
Header First Logo

Brock Bowers

Over 58.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Header Trailing Logo

By Sam Farley

The Chiefs may be 6-0, but they've given up a league-high 83.5 receiving yards per game to tight ends.

Without Davante Adams, or many good receiving options, if we're being honest, it has become the Brock Bowers show in Las Vegas. The rookie has had double-digit targets in every game over the past three weeks and is averaging 68 yards per game.

Pick: Brock Bowers Over 58.5 Receiving Yards (-110)



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