Below, I have laid out my NFL player props for every game this weekend.
Since I only had to prepare for six games this week, I am able to attack a bevy of markets here. I'm all over the board here, with most of my action going to DraftKings this week.
Let's lay out my picks for the NFL Wild Card Round.
NFL Player Prop Picks
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 4:30 p.m. | |
| 8 p.m. | |
| 1 p.m. | |
| 4:30 p.m. | |
| 8 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Chargers vs. Texans
Danielle Hunter Under 3.5 Tackles + Assists (-125)
By Sean Koerner
Danielle Hunter had an incredible season for the Texans, generating the second-most pressures in the NFL with 12 sacks.
However, Hunter stayed under this total 73% of the time this season. The four games he did clear it were all against teams in the top half of the league in terms of tackle opportunities allowed to edge rushers. The Chargers, though, are in the bottom half of the league.
Hunter stayed under this number in all 11 games against teams in the bottom half like the Chargers, who have an excellent tackle duo in Rashawn Slater and Joe Alt. That will make it tougher for Hunter to get to Justin Herbert.
Also, the Chargers operate at the slowest pace in the league, which led them to average the fourth-fewest plays per game. Hunter could face fewer plays overall than normal here.
I'm projecting him closer to 2.8 tackles with around a 67% chance he stays under 3.5.
Pick: Danielle Hunter Under 3.5 Tackles + Assists (-125)
Steelers vs. Ravens
Najee Harris Under 11.5 Rush Attempts (-110)
By Sean Koerner
This isn’t a matchup I’m expecting Najee Harris to see a ton of work on the ground.
The Ravens have allowed the second-fewest rush attempts per game. They have forced teams into pass-heavy game scripts since they often get out to leads. Baltimore also has one of the best run defenses in the NFL.
The Steelers are 10-point 'dogs at some books, so not only am I expecting less rushing volume overall from them, which lowers Najee’s projection, but he tends to concede more work to Jaylen Warren when the Steelers are trailing.
I'm projecting Harris closer to 10.8 rush attempts with around a 60% chance to stay under 11.5.
Pick: Najee Harris Under 11.5 Rush Attempts (-110)
Broncos vs. Bills
Bo Nix Over 22.5 Completions (-118)
By Sean Koerner
There are a couple of reasons why I like Bo Nix’s upside in this market here.
1) The Broncos should face a trailing game script against the Bills. Denver only trailed on 33% of its snaps but as 8.5-point underdogs, they'd be expected to trail around 54% of them. That’s a +21% difference which is the highest of all teams this weekend. That script should force them to pass at a much higher rate than usual.
